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Theoretical and Applied Climatology (Online First™)

 
Articles from the last few issues of Theoretical and Applied Climatology (Online First™)
 

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-11, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Abstract

We present the integration of early 21st century climate projections for Europe based on simulations carried out within the EU-FP6 ENSEMBLES project with the LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. The aim was to upgrade ELPIS, a repository of local-scale climate scenarios for use in impact studies and risk assessments that already included global projections from the CMIP3 ensemble and regional scenarios for Japan. To obtain a more reliable simulation of daily rainfall and extremes, changes in wet and dry series derived from ...

 

Evaluation of spatial and spatiotemporal estimation methods in simulation of precipitation variability patterns

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-16, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0795-7

Abstract

Identification of spatial and spatiotemporal precipitation variations plays an important role in different hydrological applications such as missing data estimation. In this paper, the results of Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) and ordinary kriging (OK) are compared for modeling spatial and spatiotemporal variations of annual precipitation with and without incorporating elevation variations. The study area of this research is Namak Lake watershed located in the central part of Iran with an area of approximately 90,000 km2. The BME and OK methods have been ...

 

Modeling monthly mean air temperature for Brazil

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-21, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0796-6

Abstract

Air temperature is one of the main weather variables influencing agriculture around the world. Its availability, however, is a concern, mainly in Brazil where the weather stations are more concentrated on the coastal regions of the country. Therefore, the present study had as an objective to develop models for estimating monthly and annual mean air temperature for the Brazilian territory using multiple regression and geographic information system techniques. Temperature data from 2,400 stations distributed across the Brazilian territory were used, 1,800 ...

 

Summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain: spatial regionalization and links to atmospheric circulation (1960–2006)

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-19, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0797-5

Abstract

A procedure for classifying daily summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain into homogenous regions has been presented and evaluated. This procedure employed daily temperature series from a dense network of 128 weather stations spanning the period from 1960 to 2006. Characteristics of temperature extremes included temperature frequency (e.g., warm days), intensity (e.g., warmest day), and duration (e.g., maximum length of hot spell). Following the results of the principal components analysis and Ward's method of clustering, the study area was divided into ...

 

Prediction of temperature and precipitation in Sudan and South Sudan by using LARS-WG in future

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0793-9

Abstract

Global warming has brought great pressure on the environment and livelihood conditions in Sudan and South Sudan. It is desirable to analyze and predict the change of critical climatic variables, such as temperature and precipitation, which will provide valuable reference results for future water resources planning and management in the region. The aims of this study are to test the applicability of the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model in downscaling daily precipitation and daily maximum (Tmax) and daily ...

 

Modeling the climatic effects of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-9, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0790-z

Abstract

In this analysis, the weather research and forecasting model coupled with a single-layer urban canopy model is used to simulate the climatic impacts of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area, which has experienced significant expansion in its urban areas. Two cases examining current landscapes and the sensitivity test of urban areas replaced by cropland have been carried out to explore the changes in the surface air and atmospheric boundary structure. The impact of urbanization on annual mean surface air temperature has ...

 

Interannual variability of rainfall over the Sahel based on multiple regional climate models simulations

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-12, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0791-y

Abstract

We analyse the interannual variability of the averaged summer monsoon rainfall over the Sahel from multiple regional climate models driven by the ERA-interim reanalysis and seek to provide effective information for future modelling work. We find that the majority of the models are able to reproduce the rainfall variability with correlation coefficient exceeding 0.5 compared with observations. This is due to a good representation of the dynamics of the main monsoon features of the West African climate such as the monsoon ...

 

Contemporary surface wind climatology of Turkey

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0789-5

Abstract

The aim of this study was to examine the climatological characteristics of boundary layer gradient winds in Turkey in detail. In the study, monthly average wind speed (V m) data measured at 267 stations for the 16 directions, prevailing wind direction (V ...

 

Impact of Northwest Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon region

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-8, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0785-9

Abstract

Influence of northwest (NW) Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), particularly over the head Bay of Bengal and monsoon trough region, is investigated. Strong NW Pacific anticyclone during summer induces negative precipitation anomalies over the head Bay of Bengal and Gangetic Plain region. Westward extension of moisture divergence and dry moisture transport from NW Pacific associated with anticyclone (ridge) and local Hadley cell-induced subsidence are responsible for these negative precipitation anomalies. The impact is maximum when the anticyclone and ...

 

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-11, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Abstract

We present the integration of early 21st century climate projections for Europe based on simulations carried out within the EU-FP6 ENSEMBLES project with the LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. The aim was to upgrade ELPIS, a repository of local-scale climate scenarios for use in impact studies and risk assessments that already included global projections from the CMIP3 ensemble and regional scenarios for Japan. To obtain a more reliable simulation of daily rainfall and extremes, changes in wet and dry series derived from ...

 

Evaluation of spatial and spatiotemporal estimation methods in simulation of precipitation variability patterns

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-16, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0795-7

Abstract

Identification of spatial and spatiotemporal precipitation variations plays an important role in different hydrological applications such as missing data estimation. In this paper, the results of Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) and ordinary kriging (OK) are compared for modeling spatial and spatiotemporal variations of annual precipitation with and without incorporating elevation variations. The study area of this research is Namak Lake watershed located in the central part of Iran with an area of approximately 90,000 km2. The BME and OK methods have been ...

 

Modeling monthly mean air temperature for Brazil

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-21, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0796-6

Abstract

Air temperature is one of the main weather variables influencing agriculture around the world. Its availability, however, is a concern, mainly in Brazil where the weather stations are more concentrated on the coastal regions of the country. Therefore, the present study had as an objective to develop models for estimating monthly and annual mean air temperature for the Brazilian territory using multiple regression and geographic information system techniques. Temperature data from 2,400 stations distributed across the Brazilian territory were used, 1,800 ...

 

Summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain: spatial regionalization and links to atmospheric circulation (1960–2006)

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-19, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0797-5

Abstract

A procedure for classifying daily summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain into homogenous regions has been presented and evaluated. This procedure employed daily temperature series from a dense network of 128 weather stations spanning the period from 1960 to 2006. Characteristics of temperature extremes included temperature frequency (e.g., warm days), intensity (e.g., warmest day), and duration (e.g., maximum length of hot spell). Following the results of the principal components analysis and Ward's method of clustering, the study area was divided into ...

 

Prediction of temperature and precipitation in Sudan and South Sudan by using LARS-WG in future

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0793-9

Abstract

Global warming has brought great pressure on the environment and livelihood conditions in Sudan and South Sudan. It is desirable to analyze and predict the change of critical climatic variables, such as temperature and precipitation, which will provide valuable reference results for future water resources planning and management in the region. The aims of this study are to test the applicability of the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model in downscaling daily precipitation and daily maximum (Tmax) and daily ...

 

Modeling the climatic effects of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-9, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0790-z

Abstract

In this analysis, the weather research and forecasting model coupled with a single-layer urban canopy model is used to simulate the climatic impacts of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area, which has experienced significant expansion in its urban areas. Two cases examining current landscapes and the sensitivity test of urban areas replaced by cropland have been carried out to explore the changes in the surface air and atmospheric boundary structure. The impact of urbanization on annual mean surface air temperature has ...

 

Interannual variability of rainfall over the Sahel based on multiple regional climate models simulations

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-12, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0791-y

Abstract

We analyse the interannual variability of the averaged summer monsoon rainfall over the Sahel from multiple regional climate models driven by the ERA-interim reanalysis and seek to provide effective information for future modelling work. We find that the majority of the models are able to reproduce the rainfall variability with correlation coefficient exceeding 0.5 compared with observations. This is due to a good representation of the dynamics of the main monsoon features of the West African climate such as the monsoon ...

 

Contemporary surface wind climatology of Turkey

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0789-5

Abstract

The aim of this study was to examine the climatological characteristics of boundary layer gradient winds in Turkey in detail. In the study, monthly average wind speed (V m) data measured at 267 stations for the 16 directions, prevailing wind direction (V ...

 

Impact of Northwest Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon region

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-8, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0785-9

Abstract

Influence of northwest (NW) Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), particularly over the head Bay of Bengal and monsoon trough region, is investigated. Strong NW Pacific anticyclone during summer induces negative precipitation anomalies over the head Bay of Bengal and Gangetic Plain region. Westward extension of moisture divergence and dry moisture transport from NW Pacific associated with anticyclone (ridge) and local Hadley cell-induced subsidence are responsible for these negative precipitation anomalies. The impact is maximum when the anticyclone and ...

 

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-11, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Abstract

We present the integration of early 21st century climate projections for Europe based on simulations carried out within the EU-FP6 ENSEMBLES project with the LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. The aim was to upgrade ELPIS, a repository of local-scale climate scenarios for use in impact studies and risk assessments that already included global projections from the CMIP3 ensemble and regional scenarios for Japan. To obtain a more reliable simulation of daily rainfall and extremes, changes in wet and dry series derived from ...

 

Evaluation of spatial and spatiotemporal estimation methods in simulation of precipitation variability patterns

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-16, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0795-7

Abstract

Identification of spatial and spatiotemporal precipitation variations plays an important role in different hydrological applications such as missing data estimation. In this paper, the results of Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) and ordinary kriging (OK) are compared for modeling spatial and spatiotemporal variations of annual precipitation with and without incorporating elevation variations. The study area of this research is Namak Lake watershed located in the central part of Iran with an area of approximately 90,000 km2. The BME and OK methods have been ...

 

Modeling monthly mean air temperature for Brazil

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-21, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0796-6

Abstract

Air temperature is one of the main weather variables influencing agriculture around the world. Its availability, however, is a concern, mainly in Brazil where the weather stations are more concentrated on the coastal regions of the country. Therefore, the present study had as an objective to develop models for estimating monthly and annual mean air temperature for the Brazilian territory using multiple regression and geographic information system techniques. Temperature data from 2,400 stations distributed across the Brazilian territory were used, 1,800 ...

 

Summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain: spatial regionalization and links to atmospheric circulation (1960–2006)

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-19, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0797-5

Abstract

A procedure for classifying daily summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain into homogenous regions has been presented and evaluated. This procedure employed daily temperature series from a dense network of 128 weather stations spanning the period from 1960 to 2006. Characteristics of temperature extremes included temperature frequency (e.g., warm days), intensity (e.g., warmest day), and duration (e.g., maximum length of hot spell). Following the results of the principal components analysis and Ward's method of clustering, the study area was divided into ...

 

Prediction of temperature and precipitation in Sudan and South Sudan by using LARS-WG in future

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0793-9

Abstract

Global warming has brought great pressure on the environment and livelihood conditions in Sudan and South Sudan. It is desirable to analyze and predict the change of critical climatic variables, such as temperature and precipitation, which will provide valuable reference results for future water resources planning and management in the region. The aims of this study are to test the applicability of the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model in downscaling daily precipitation and daily maximum (Tmax) and daily ...

 

Modeling the climatic effects of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-9, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0790-z

Abstract

In this analysis, the weather research and forecasting model coupled with a single-layer urban canopy model is used to simulate the climatic impacts of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area, which has experienced significant expansion in its urban areas. Two cases examining current landscapes and the sensitivity test of urban areas replaced by cropland have been carried out to explore the changes in the surface air and atmospheric boundary structure. The impact of urbanization on annual mean surface air temperature has ...

 

Interannual variability of rainfall over the Sahel based on multiple regional climate models simulations

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-12, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0791-y

Abstract

We analyse the interannual variability of the averaged summer monsoon rainfall over the Sahel from multiple regional climate models driven by the ERA-interim reanalysis and seek to provide effective information for future modelling work. We find that the majority of the models are able to reproduce the rainfall variability with correlation coefficient exceeding 0.5 compared with observations. This is due to a good representation of the dynamics of the main monsoon features of the West African climate such as the monsoon ...

 

Contemporary surface wind climatology of Turkey

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0789-5

Abstract

The aim of this study was to examine the climatological characteristics of boundary layer gradient winds in Turkey in detail. In the study, monthly average wind speed (V m) data measured at 267 stations for the 16 directions, prevailing wind direction (V ...

 

Impact of Northwest Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon region

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-8, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0785-9

Abstract

Influence of northwest (NW) Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), particularly over the head Bay of Bengal and monsoon trough region, is investigated. Strong NW Pacific anticyclone during summer induces negative precipitation anomalies over the head Bay of Bengal and Gangetic Plain region. Westward extension of moisture divergence and dry moisture transport from NW Pacific associated with anticyclone (ridge) and local Hadley cell-induced subsidence are responsible for these negative precipitation anomalies. The impact is maximum when the anticyclone and ...

 

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-11, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Abstract

We present the integration of early 21st century climate projections for Europe based on simulations carried out within the EU-FP6 ENSEMBLES project with the LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. The aim was to upgrade ELPIS, a repository of local-scale climate scenarios for use in impact studies and risk assessments that already included global projections from the CMIP3 ensemble and regional scenarios for Japan. To obtain a more reliable simulation of daily rainfall and extremes, changes in wet and dry series derived from ...

 

Evaluation of spatial and spatiotemporal estimation methods in simulation of precipitation variability patterns

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-16, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0795-7

Abstract

Identification of spatial and spatiotemporal precipitation variations plays an important role in different hydrological applications such as missing data estimation. In this paper, the results of Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) and ordinary kriging (OK) are compared for modeling spatial and spatiotemporal variations of annual precipitation with and without incorporating elevation variations. The study area of this research is Namak Lake watershed located in the central part of Iran with an area of approximately 90,000 km2. The BME and OK methods have been ...

 

Modeling monthly mean air temperature for Brazil

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-21, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0796-6

Abstract

Air temperature is one of the main weather variables influencing agriculture around the world. Its availability, however, is a concern, mainly in Brazil where the weather stations are more concentrated on the coastal regions of the country. Therefore, the present study had as an objective to develop models for estimating monthly and annual mean air temperature for the Brazilian territory using multiple regression and geographic information system techniques. Temperature data from 2,400 stations distributed across the Brazilian territory were used, 1,800 ...

 

Summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain: spatial regionalization and links to atmospheric circulation (1960–2006)

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-19, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0797-5

Abstract

A procedure for classifying daily summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain into homogenous regions has been presented and evaluated. This procedure employed daily temperature series from a dense network of 128 weather stations spanning the period from 1960 to 2006. Characteristics of temperature extremes included temperature frequency (e.g., warm days), intensity (e.g., warmest day), and duration (e.g., maximum length of hot spell). Following the results of the principal components analysis and Ward's method of clustering, the study area was divided into ...

 

Prediction of temperature and precipitation in Sudan and South Sudan by using LARS-WG in future

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0793-9

Abstract

Global warming has brought great pressure on the environment and livelihood conditions in Sudan and South Sudan. It is desirable to analyze and predict the change of critical climatic variables, such as temperature and precipitation, which will provide valuable reference results for future water resources planning and management in the region. The aims of this study are to test the applicability of the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model in downscaling daily precipitation and daily maximum (Tmax) and daily ...

 

Modeling the climatic effects of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-9, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0790-z

Abstract

In this analysis, the weather research and forecasting model coupled with a single-layer urban canopy model is used to simulate the climatic impacts of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area, which has experienced significant expansion in its urban areas. Two cases examining current landscapes and the sensitivity test of urban areas replaced by cropland have been carried out to explore the changes in the surface air and atmospheric boundary structure. The impact of urbanization on annual mean surface air temperature has ...

 

Interannual variability of rainfall over the Sahel based on multiple regional climate models simulations

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-12, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0791-y

Abstract

We analyse the interannual variability of the averaged summer monsoon rainfall over the Sahel from multiple regional climate models driven by the ERA-interim reanalysis and seek to provide effective information for future modelling work. We find that the majority of the models are able to reproduce the rainfall variability with correlation coefficient exceeding 0.5 compared with observations. This is due to a good representation of the dynamics of the main monsoon features of the West African climate such as the monsoon ...

 

Contemporary surface wind climatology of Turkey

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0789-5

Abstract

The aim of this study was to examine the climatological characteristics of boundary layer gradient winds in Turkey in detail. In the study, monthly average wind speed (V m) data measured at 267 stations for the 16 directions, prevailing wind direction (V ...

 

Impact of Northwest Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon region

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-8, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0785-9

Abstract

Influence of northwest (NW) Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), particularly over the head Bay of Bengal and monsoon trough region, is investigated. Strong NW Pacific anticyclone during summer induces negative precipitation anomalies over the head Bay of Bengal and Gangetic Plain region. Westward extension of moisture divergence and dry moisture transport from NW Pacific associated with anticyclone (ridge) and local Hadley cell-induced subsidence are responsible for these negative precipitation anomalies. The impact is maximum when the anticyclone and ...

 

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-11, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Abstract

We present the integration of early 21st century climate projections for Europe based on simulations carried out within the EU-FP6 ENSEMBLES project with the LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. The aim was to upgrade ELPIS, a repository of local-scale climate scenarios for use in impact studies and risk assessments that already included global projections from the CMIP3 ensemble and regional scenarios for Japan. To obtain a more reliable simulation of daily rainfall and extremes, changes in wet and dry series derived from ...

 

Evaluation of spatial and spatiotemporal estimation methods in simulation of precipitation variability patterns

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-16, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0795-7

Abstract

Identification of spatial and spatiotemporal precipitation variations plays an important role in different hydrological applications such as missing data estimation. In this paper, the results of Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) and ordinary kriging (OK) are compared for modeling spatial and spatiotemporal variations of annual precipitation with and without incorporating elevation variations. The study area of this research is Namak Lake watershed located in the central part of Iran with an area of approximately 90,000 km2. The BME and OK methods have been ...

 

Modeling monthly mean air temperature for Brazil

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-21, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0796-6

Abstract

Air temperature is one of the main weather variables influencing agriculture around the world. Its availability, however, is a concern, mainly in Brazil where the weather stations are more concentrated on the coastal regions of the country. Therefore, the present study had as an objective to develop models for estimating monthly and annual mean air temperature for the Brazilian territory using multiple regression and geographic information system techniques. Temperature data from 2,400 stations distributed across the Brazilian territory were used, 1,800 ...

 

Summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain: spatial regionalization and links to atmospheric circulation (1960–2006)

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-19, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0797-5

Abstract

A procedure for classifying daily summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain into homogenous regions has been presented and evaluated. This procedure employed daily temperature series from a dense network of 128 weather stations spanning the period from 1960 to 2006. Characteristics of temperature extremes included temperature frequency (e.g., warm days), intensity (e.g., warmest day), and duration (e.g., maximum length of hot spell). Following the results of the principal components analysis and Ward's method of clustering, the study area was divided into ...

 

Prediction of temperature and precipitation in Sudan and South Sudan by using LARS-WG in future

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0793-9

Abstract

Global warming has brought great pressure on the environment and livelihood conditions in Sudan and South Sudan. It is desirable to analyze and predict the change of critical climatic variables, such as temperature and precipitation, which will provide valuable reference results for future water resources planning and management in the region. The aims of this study are to test the applicability of the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model in downscaling daily precipitation and daily maximum (Tmax) and daily ...

 

Modeling the climatic effects of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-9, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0790-z

Abstract

In this analysis, the weather research and forecasting model coupled with a single-layer urban canopy model is used to simulate the climatic impacts of urbanization in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei metropolitan area, which has experienced significant expansion in its urban areas. Two cases examining current landscapes and the sensitivity test of urban areas replaced by cropland have been carried out to explore the changes in the surface air and atmospheric boundary structure. The impact of urbanization on annual mean surface air temperature has ...

 

Interannual variability of rainfall over the Sahel based on multiple regional climate models simulations

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-12, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0791-y

Abstract

We analyse the interannual variability of the averaged summer monsoon rainfall over the Sahel from multiple regional climate models driven by the ERA-interim reanalysis and seek to provide effective information for future modelling work. We find that the majority of the models are able to reproduce the rainfall variability with correlation coefficient exceeding 0.5 compared with observations. This is due to a good representation of the dynamics of the main monsoon features of the West African climate such as the monsoon ...

 

Contemporary surface wind climatology of Turkey

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0789-5

Abstract

The aim of this study was to examine the climatological characteristics of boundary layer gradient winds in Turkey in detail. In the study, monthly average wind speed (V m) data measured at 267 stations for the 16 directions, prevailing wind direction (V ...

 

Impact of Northwest Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon region

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-8, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0785-9

Abstract

Influence of northwest (NW) Pacific anticyclone on the Indian summer monsoon (ISM), particularly over the head Bay of Bengal and monsoon trough region, is investigated. Strong NW Pacific anticyclone during summer induces negative precipitation anomalies over the head Bay of Bengal and Gangetic Plain region. Westward extension of moisture divergence and dry moisture transport from NW Pacific associated with anticyclone (ridge) and local Hadley cell-induced subsidence are responsible for these negative precipitation anomalies. The impact is maximum when the anticyclone and ...

 

Local-scale climate scenarios for impact studies and risk assessments: integration of early 21st century ENSEMBLES projections into the ELPIS database

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-11, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0799-3

Abstract

We present the integration of early 21st century climate projections for Europe based on simulations carried out within the EU-FP6 ENSEMBLES project with the LARS-WG stochastic weather generator. The aim was to upgrade ELPIS, a repository of local-scale climate scenarios for use in impact studies and risk assessments that already included global projections from the CMIP3 ensemble and regional scenarios for Japan. To obtain a more reliable simulation of daily rainfall and extremes, changes in wet and dry series derived from ...

 

Evaluation of spatial and spatiotemporal estimation methods in simulation of precipitation variability patterns

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-16, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0795-7

Abstract

Identification of spatial and spatiotemporal precipitation variations plays an important role in different hydrological applications such as missing data estimation. In this paper, the results of Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) and ordinary kriging (OK) are compared for modeling spatial and spatiotemporal variations of annual precipitation with and without incorporating elevation variations. The study area of this research is Namak Lake watershed located in the central part of Iran with an area of approximately 90,000 km2. The BME and OK methods have been ...

 

Modeling monthly mean air temperature for Brazil

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-21, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0796-6

Abstract

Air temperature is one of the main weather variables influencing agriculture around the world. Its availability, however, is a concern, mainly in Brazil where the weather stations are more concentrated on the coastal regions of the country. Therefore, the present study had as an objective to develop models for estimating monthly and annual mean air temperature for the Brazilian territory using multiple regression and geographic information system techniques. Temperature data from 2,400 stations distributed across the Brazilian territory were used, 1,800 ...

 

Summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain: spatial regionalization and links to atmospheric circulation (1960–2006)

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-19, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0797-5

Abstract

A procedure for classifying daily summer temperature extremes in northeastern Spain into homogenous regions has been presented and evaluated. This procedure employed daily temperature series from a dense network of 128 weather stations spanning the period from 1960 to 2006. Characteristics of temperature extremes included temperature frequency (e.g., warm days), intensity (e.g., warmest day), and duration (e.g., maximum length of hot spell). Following the results of the principal components analysis and Ward's method of clustering, the study area was divided into ...

 

Prediction of temperature and precipitation in Sudan and South Sudan by using LARS-WG in future

  [CiTO]
In Theoretical and Applied Climatology (2012), pp. 1-13, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0793-9

Abstract

Global warming has brought great pressure on the environment and livelihood conditions in Sudan and South Sudan. It is desirable to analyze and predict the change of critical climatic variables, such as temperature and precipitation, which will provide valuable reference results for future water resources planning and management in the region. The aims of this study are to test the applicability of the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model in downscaling daily precipitation and daily maximum (Tmax) and daily ...

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