Predicting the impact of global climatic change on land use in Europe Export

@inproceedings{citeulike:1665620, abstract = {The paper describes the development of a prototype Synoptic Prediction System designed to estimate possible impacts of global climatic change on land use patterns across the European Union (EU). Designing such a system is a challenging task because many of the theoretically desirable data sets are either not available or do not exist whilst significant uncertainties are apparent in the available data. Additionally, process knowledge is woefully deficient as virtually all the principal mechanisms for linking the dynamics of the physical environment and climate with the associated socio-economic systems are poorly understood. Our belief is that currently no computer models exist which can appropriately address this task and that presently a synoptic GIS style of approach is probably the best way of making broad brush geographical predictions of the possible impacts of global climatic change on land use for around 50 years hence. So, the paper describes the construction and application of a prototype Synoptic Prediction System that employs a mix of GIS, neurocomputing, and fuzzy logic technologies to attempt this almost impossible but potentially extremely important task.}, author = {Openshaw, S. and Turner, A.}, booktitle = {International Conference on Modelling Geographical and Environmental Systems with GIS, Hong Kong}, citeulike-article-id = {1665620}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://www.geog.leeds.ac.uk/people/a.turner/publications/archive/OpenshawTurner1998.html}, keywords = {2572nat00, climate\_change, europe, fuzzy, luc, vegetation\_models}, month = {June}, posted-at = {2007-09-17 12:29:32}, priority = {2}, title = {Predicting the impact of global climatic change on land use in Europe}, url = {http://www.geog.leeds.ac.uk/people/a.turner/publications/archive/OpenshawTurner1998.html}, year = {1998} }

TY - CONF ID - citeulike:1665620 L3 - citeulike-article-id:1665620 N2 - The paper describes the development of a prototype Synoptic Prediction System designed to estimate possible impacts of global climatic change on land use patterns across the European Union (EU). Designing such a system is a challenging task because many of the theoretically desirable data sets are either not available or do not exist whilst significant uncertainties are apparent in the available data. Additionally, process knowledge is woefully deficient as virtually all the principal mechanisms for linking the dynamics of the physical environment and climate with the associated socio-economic systems are poorly understood. Our belief is that currently no computer models exist which can appropriately address this task and that presently a synoptic GIS style of approach is probably the best way of making broad brush geographical predictions of the possible impacts of global climatic change on land use for around 50 years hence. So, the paper describes the construction and application of a prototype Synoptic Prediction System that employs a mix of GIS, neurocomputing, and fuzzy logic technologies to attempt this almost impossible but potentially extremely important task. TI - Predicting the impact of global climatic change on land use in Europe T2 - International Conference on Modelling Geographical and Environmental Systems with GIS, Hong Kong KW - 2572nat00 KW - climate_change KW - europe KW - fuzzy KW - luc KW - vegetation_models AU - Openshaw, S AU - Turner, A PY - 1998/06// UR - http://www.geog.leeds.ac.uk/people/a.turner/publications/archive/OpenshawTurner1998.html ER -