Ecosystem vulnerability of China under B2 climate scenario in the 21st century Export

@article{citeulike:1965752, abstract = {This paper applies climate change scenarios in China based on the SRES assumptions with the help of RCMs projections by PRECIS (providing regional climates for impacts studies) system introduced to China from the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research at a high-resolution (50 km×50 km) over China. This research focuses on B2 scenario of SRES. A biogeochemical model ” Atmosphere Vegetation Integrated Model (AVIM2)” was applied to simulating ecosystem status in the 21st century. Then vulnerability of ecosystems was assessed based on a set of index of mainly net primary production (NPP) of vegetation. Results show that climate change would affect ecosystem of China severely and there would be a worse trend with the lapse of time. The regions where having vulnerable ecological background would have heavier impacts while some regions with better ecological background would also receive serious impacts. Extreme climate even would bring about worse impact on the ecosystems. Open shrub and desert steppe would be the two most affected types. When the extreme events happen, vulnerable ecosystem would extend to part of defoliate broad-leaved forest, woody grassland and evergreen conifer forest. Climate change would not always be negative. It could be of some benefit to cold region during the near-term. However, in view of mid-term to long-term negative impact on ecosystem vulnerability would be enormously.}, author = {Wu, Shaohong and Dai, Erfu1 and Huang, Mei1 and Shao, Xueme and Li, Shuangcheng and Tao, Bo}, citeulike-article-id = {1965752}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://csb.scichina.com/english/qikan/epaper/zhaiyao.asp?bsid=79696}, journal = {Chinese Science Bulletin}, keywords = {2518china, climate\_change, precis, scenarios, vegetation\_models}, number = {10}, pages = {1379--1386}, posted-at = {2008-04-14 14:18:27}, priority = {2}, title = {Ecosystem vulnerability of China under B2 climate scenario in the 21st century}, url = {http://csb.scichina.com/english/qikan/epaper/zhaiyao.asp?bsid=79696}, volume = {52}, year = {2007} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:1965752 L3 - citeulike-article-id:1965752 N2 - This paper applies climate change scenarios in China based on the SRES assumptions with the help of RCMs projections by PRECIS (providing regional climates for impacts studies) system introduced to China from the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research at a high-resolution (50 km×50 km) over China. This research focuses on B2 scenario of SRES. A biogeochemical model “Atmosphere Vegetation Integrated Model (AVIM2)” was applied to simulating ecosystem status in the 21st century. Then vulnerability of ecosystems was assessed based on a set of index of mainly net primary production (NPP) of vegetation. Results show that climate change would affect ecosystem of China severely and there would be a worse trend with the lapse of time. The regions where having vulnerable ecological background would have heavier impacts while some regions with better ecological background would also receive serious impacts. Extreme climate even would bring about worse impact on the ecosystems. Open shrub and desert steppe would be the two most affected types. When the extreme events happen, vulnerable ecosystem would extend to part of defoliate broad-leaved forest, woody grassland and evergreen conifer forest. Climate change would not always be negative. It could be of some benefit to cold region during the near-term. However, in view of mid-term to long-term negative impact on ecosystem vulnerability would be enormously. IS - 10 JF - Chinese Science Bulletin EP - 1386 TI - Ecosystem vulnerability of China under B2 climate scenario in the 21st century VL - 52 SP - 1379 KW - 2518china KW - climate_change KW - precis KW - scenarios KW - vegetation_models AU - Wu, Shaohong AU - Dai, Erfu1 AU - Huang, Mei1 AU - Shao, Xueme AU - Li, Shuangcheng AU - Tao, Bo PY - 2007/// UR - http://csb.scichina.com/english/qikan/epaper/zhaiyao.asp?bsid=79696 ER -