Short-term load forecasting for the holidays using fuzzy linear regression method Export

@article{citeulike:788761, abstract = {Average load forecasting errors for the holidays are much higher than those for weekdays. So far, many studies on the short-term load forecasting have been made to improve the prediction accuracy using various methods such as deterministic, stochastic, artificial neural net (ANN) and neural network-fuzzy methods. In order to reduce the load forecasting error of the 24 hourly loads for the holidays, the concept of fuzzy regression analysis is employed in the short-term load forecasting problem. According to the historical load data, the same type of holiday showed a similar trend of load profile as in previous years. The fuzzy linear regression model is made from the load data of the previous three years and the coefficients of the model are found by solving the mixed linear programming problem. The proposed algorithm shows good accuracy, and the average maximum percentage error is 3.57\% in the load forecasting of the holidays for the years of 1996-1997.}, author = {Song, Kyung-Bin and Baek, Young-Sik and Hong, Dug H. and Jang, G.}, citeulike-article-id = {788761}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs_all.jsp?arnumber=1388498}, journal = {Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on}, keywords = {energy, fuzzy-logic, linear-regression, load-forecasting}, number = {1}, pages = {96--101}, posted-at = {2006-08-07 14:25:58}, priority = {2}, title = {Short-term load forecasting for the holidays using fuzzy linear regression method}, url = {http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs_all.jsp?arnumber=1388498}, volume = {20}, year = {2005} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:788761 L3 - citeulike-article-id:788761 N2 - Average load forecasting errors for the holidays are much higher than those for weekdays. So far, many studies on the short-term load forecasting have been made to improve the prediction accuracy using various methods such as deterministic, stochastic, artificial neural net (ANN) and neural network-fuzzy methods. In order to reduce the load forecasting error of the 24 hourly loads for the holidays, the concept of fuzzy regression analysis is employed in the short-term load forecasting problem. According to the historical load data, the same type of holiday showed a similar trend of load profile as in previous years. The fuzzy linear regression model is made from the load data of the previous three years and the coefficients of the model are found by solving the mixed linear programming problem. The proposed algorithm shows good accuracy, and the average maximum percentage error is 3.57% in the load forecasting of the holidays for the years of 1996-1997. IS - 1 JF - Power Systems, IEEE Transactions on EP - 101 TI - Short-term load forecasting for the holidays using fuzzy linear regression method VL - 20 SP - 96 KW - energy KW - fuzzy-logic KW - linear-regression KW - load-forecasting AU - Song, Kyung-Bin AU - Baek, Young-Sik AU - Hong, Dug AU - Jang, G PY - 2005/// UR - http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpls/abs_all.jsp?arnumber=1388498 ER -