Probability of adverse events that have not yet occurred: a statistical reminder. Export

@article{citeulike:369188, abstract = {The probability of adverse and undesirable events during and after operations that have not yet occurred in a finite number of patients (n) can be estimated with Hanley's simple formula, which gives the upper limit of the 95\% confidence interval of the probability of such an event: upper limit of 95\% confidence interval = maximum risk = 3/n (for n > 30). Doctors and surgeons should keep this simple rule in mind when complication rates of zero are reported in the literature and when they have not (yet) experienced a disastrous complication in a procedure.}, address = {II Department of Surgery, University of Cologne, Kliniken der Stadt K\"{o}ln, Germany.}, author = {Eypasch, E. and Lefering, R. and Kum, C. K. and Troidl, H.}, citeulike-article-id = {369188}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract/311/7005/619}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://view.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7663258}, citeulike-linkout-2 = {http://www.hubmed.org/display.cgi?uids=7663258}, day = {2}, issn = {0959-8138}, journal = {BMJ}, keywords = {for\_trainees\_add, statistics, xrw}, month = {September}, number = {7005}, pages = {619--620}, posted-at = {2009-10-26 12:07:27}, priority = {2}, title = {Probability of adverse events that have not yet occurred: a statistical reminder.}, url = {http://bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract/311/7005/619}, volume = {311}, year = {1995} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:369188 L3 - citeulike-article-id:369188 N2 - The probability of adverse and undesirable events during and after operations that have not yet occurred in a finite number of patients (n) can be estimated with Hanley's simple formula, which gives the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval of the probability of such an event: upper limit of 95% confidence interval = maximum risk = 3/n (for n > 30). Doctors and surgeons should keep this simple rule in mind when complication rates of zero are reported in the literature and when they have not (yet) experienced a disastrous complication in a procedure. IS - 7005 JF - BMJ SN - 0959-8138 AD - II Department of Surgery, University of Cologne, Kliniken der Stadt Köln, Germany. EP - 620 TI - Probability of adverse events that have not yet occurred: a statistical reminder. VL - 311 SP - 619 KW - for_trainees_add KW - statistics KW - xrw AU - Eypasch, E AU - Lefering, R AU - Kum, CK AU - Troidl, H PY - 1995/09/02/ UR - http://bmj.com/cgi/content/abstract/311/7005/619 ER -