Simulating growth of the h-index Export

@article{guns09simulating, abstract = {Temporal growth of the h-index in a diachronous cumulative time series is predicted to be linear by Hirsch (2005), whereas other models predict a concave increase. Actual data generally yield a linear growth or S-shaped growth. We study the h-index's growth in computer simulations of the publication-citation process. In most simulations the h-index grows linearly in time. Only occasionally does an S-shape occur, while in our simulations a concave increase is very rare. The latter is often signalled by the occurrence of plateaus - periods of h-index stagnation. Several parameters and their influence on the h-index's growth are determined and discussed.}, address = {University of Antwerp, IBW, Venusstraat 35, City Campus, 2000 Antwerpen, Belgium; KHBO (Association K.U.Leuven), Industrial Sciences and Technology, Zeedijk 101, B-8400 Oostende, Belgium}, author = {Guns, Raf and Rousseau, Ronald}, citeulike-article-id = {3880129}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asi.20973}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/abstract/121498466/ABSTRACT}, doi = {10.1002/asi.20973}, journal = {Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology}, keywords = {computer-simulation, h-index, time-series}, number = {2}, pages = {410--417}, posted-at = {2009-01-13 09:23:18}, priority = {0}, title = {Simulating growth of the h-index}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asi.20973}, volume = {60}, year = {2009} }

TY - JOUR ID - guns09simulating L3 - citeulike-article-id:3880129 N2 - Temporal growth of the h-index in a diachronous cumulative time series is predicted to be linear by Hirsch (2005), whereas other models predict a concave increase. Actual data generally yield a linear growth or S-shaped growth. We study the h-index's growth in computer simulations of the publication-citation process. In most simulations the h-index grows linearly in time. Only occasionally does an S-shape occur, while in our simulations a concave increase is very rare. The latter is often signalled by the occurrence of plateaus - periods of h-index stagnation. Several parameters and their influence on the h-index's growth are determined and discussed. IS - 2 JF - Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology AD - University of Antwerp, IBW, Venusstraat 35, City Campus, 2000 Antwerpen, Belgium; KHBO (Association K.U.Leuven), Industrial Sciences and Technology, Zeedijk 101, B-8400 Oostende, Belgium EP - 417 TI - Simulating growth of the h-index VL - 60 SP - 410 KW - computer-simulation KW - h-index KW - time-series AU - Guns, Raf AU - Rousseau, Ronald PY - 2009/// UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asi.20973 ER -