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The Equity Risk Premium: A Solution Export

Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 22 (1988), pp. 117-131.

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In 'The equity Risk Premium: A Puzzle', Mehra and Prescott (1985) developed an Arrow-Debreu asset pricing model. They rejected it because it could not explain high enough equity risk premia. They conclude that only non-Arrow-Debreu models would solve this 'puzzle'. Here, I re-specify their model, capturing the effects of possible, though unlikely, market crashes. While maintaining their model's attractive features, this allows it to explain high equity risk premia and low risk-free returns. It does so with reasonable degree of time preference and risk aversion, provided the crashes are plausibly severe and not to improbable.


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