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The Equity Risk Premium: A Solutionby: Thomas A. Rietz
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AbstractIn 'The equity Risk Premium: A Puzzle', Mehra and Prescott (1985) developed an Arrow-Debreu asset pricing model. They rejected it because it could not explain high enough equity risk premia. They conclude that only non-Arrow-Debreu models would solve this 'puzzle'. Here, I re-specify their model, capturing the effects of possible, though unlikely, market crashes. While maintaining their model's attractive features, this allows it to explain high equity risk premia and low risk-free returns. It does so with reasonable degree of time preference and risk aversion, provided the crashes are plausibly severe and not to improbable.
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