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The Natural Real Rate of Interest in the Euro Area. Export

ECB Working Paper No. 233 (May 2003)

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In this paper, we discuss the consequences of taking into account the variations of the natural real interest rate in simple monetary policy rules. We also provide one possible model-based analysis of the level of natural real interest rate that has prevailed in the euro area since the early 1970s, and present the implied "real rate gap" as a possible additional indicator to assess the stance of monetary policy.


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