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Generalized extreme value statistics and sum of correlated variables Export

Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General, Vol. 39, No. 24. (16 June 2006), pp. 7607-7619.

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extreme-value gumbel probability statistics

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We show that generalized extreme value statistics—the statistics of the k th largest value among a large set of random variables—can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and (generally) correlated random variables with a sum distributed according to one of the three ( k -dependent) asymptotic distributions of extreme value statistics, namely the Gumbel, Fréchet and Weibull distributions. These classes, as well as the limit distributions, are naturally extended to real values of k , thus providing a clear interpretation to the onset of Gumbel distributions with non-integer index k in the statistics of global observables. This is one of the very few known generalizations of the central limit theorem to non-independent random variables. Finally, in the context of a simple physical model, we relate the index k to the ratio of the correlation length to the system size, which remains finite in strongly correlated systems.


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