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Bayesian Inference, Entropy, and the Multinomial Distributionby: Thomas P. Minka
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AbstractInstead of maximum-likelihood or MAP, Bayesian inference encourages the use of predictive densities and evidence scores. This is illustrated in the context of the multinomial distribution, where predictive estimates are often used but rarely described as Bayesian. By using an entropy approximation to the evidence, many Bayesian quantities can be expressed in information-theoretic terms. For example, testing whether two samples come from the same distribution or testing whether two variables are ...
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