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Solving the Mystery of the AFRICA Dummy Export

World Development, Vol. 28, No. 10. (October 2000), pp. 1821-1835.

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Most empirical studies have reported a negative effect on growth of being an African country, even when accounting for ethnic heterogeneity. Modeling policy choices has reduced this effect in recent studies, but these have begged the question of why Africa appears adverse to developmental policies. This paper uses a cross-sectional data set to show that the governments of arbitrary postcolonial states--as are most African states--face substantial limitations to their power and are constrained in their responses, deriving greater relative power payoffs from neo-patrimonial than from developmental policies. Differing levels of state legitimacy account therefore largely for the policy choices which characterize most of Africa.


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