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Postwar U.S. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation Export

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 29, No. 1. (1997), pp. 1-16.

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We propose a procedure for representing a time series as the sum of a smoothly varying trend component and a cyclical component. We document the nature of the comovements of the cyclical components of a variety of macroeconomic time series. We find that these comovements are very different than the corresponding comovements of the slowly varying trend components.


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