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Productivity shocks and real exchange rates Export

Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 52, No. 3. (April 2005), pp. 555-566.

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Previous studies have concluded that productivity shocks have negligible effects on real exchange rate fluctuations. This paper shows that when long-run equilibrium relationships between real exchange rate levels and fundamental variables are taken into account, relative productivity shocks account for most of the long-run movements in the real exchange rates. This can be interpreted as empirical support for the Balassa (1964. Journal of Political Economy 72, 584-596) and Samuelson (1964. Review of Economics and Statistics 46, 145-154) model where differences in relative productivity is the main source of long-run deviations for purchasing power parity.


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