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Convergence results for contact branching processes Export

Mathematical Biosciences, Vol. 205, No. 1. (January 2007), pp. 59-76.

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branching epidemics processes

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The link between the multi-type contact birth process and the spatial deterministic S --> I epidemic is exploited to give convergence results for a multi-type Markovian contact branching process. Let U(t) be the position of furthest spread by time t in a specific direction. The asymptotic speed of translation of the distribution function of U(t) is derived and U(t)/t is shown to converge in probability to this speed.


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