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Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity

by: Richard T. Baillie, Tim Bollerslev, Hans O. Mikkelsen
Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 74, No. 1. (September 1996), pp. 3-30, doi:10.1016/s0304-4076(95)01749-6  Key: citeulike:9338774

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Abstract

The new class of Fractionally Integrated Generalized AutoRegressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (FIGARCH) processes is introduced. The conditional variance of the process implies a slow hyperbolic rate of decay for the influence of lagged squared innovations. Unlike (I(d) processes for the mean, Maximum Likelihood Estimates (MLE) of the FIGARCH parameters are argued to be . The small-sample behavior of an approximate MLE procedure is assessed through a simulation study, which also documents how the estimation of a standard GARCH model tends to produce integrated, or IGARCH, like estimates. An empirical example with daily Deutschmark — U.S. dollar exchange rates illustrates the practical relevance of the new FIGARCH specification.


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