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Aggregation via empirical risk minimization Export

Probability Theory and Related Fields, Vol. 145, No. 3. (1 November 2009), pp. 591-613.

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convexity ensemble erm theory

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Abstract  Given a finite set F of estimators, the problem of aggregation is to construct a new estimator whose risk is as close as possible to the risk of the best estimator in F. It was conjectured that empirical minimization performed in the convex hull of F is an optimal aggregation method, but we show that this conjecture is false. Despite that, we prove that empirical minimization in the convex hull of a well chosen, empirically determined subset of F is an optimal aggregation method.


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