Pacific and Atlantic Ocean Influences on Multidecadal Drought Frequency in the United States Export

@article{citeulike:3054812, abstract = {More than half (52\%) of the spatial and temporal variance in multidecadal drought frequency over the conterminous United States is attributable to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). An additional 22\% of the variance in drought frequency is related to a complex spatial pattern of positive and negative trends in drought occurrence possibly related to increasing Northern Hemisphere temperatures or some other unidirectional climate trend. Recent droughts with broad impacts over the conterminous U.S. (1996, 1999-2002) were associated with North Atlantic warming (positive AMO) and northeastern and tropical Pacific cooling (negative PDO). Much of the long-term predictability of drought frequency may reside in the multidecadal behavior of the North Atlantic Ocean. Should the current positive AMO (warm North Atlantic) conditions persist into the upcoming decade, we suggest two possible drought scenarios that resemble the continental-scale patterns of the 1930s (positive PDO) and 1950s (negative PDO) drought.}, author = {Mccabe, Gregory J. and Palecki, Michael A. and Betancourt, Julio L. and Fung, Inez Y.}, citeulike-article-id = {3054812}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3371575}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/3371575}, doi = {10.2307/3371575}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America}, keywords = {atlantic-multidecadal-oscillation, climate-change, climate-variability, disturbances, drought, pacific-decadal-oscillation}, number = {12}, pages = {4136--4141}, posted-at = {2008-07-28 22:50:28}, priority = {2}, publisher = {National Academy of Sciences}, title = {Pacific and Atlantic Ocean Influences on Multidecadal Drought Frequency in the United States}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3371575}, volume = {101}, year = {2004} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:3054812 L3 - citeulike-article-id:3054812 N2 - More than half (52%) of the spatial and temporal variance in multidecadal drought frequency over the conterminous United States is attributable to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). An additional 22% of the variance in drought frequency is related to a complex spatial pattern of positive and negative trends in drought occurrence possibly related to increasing Northern Hemisphere temperatures or some other unidirectional climate trend. Recent droughts with broad impacts over the conterminous U.S. (1996, 1999-2002) were associated with North Atlantic warming (positive AMO) and northeastern and tropical Pacific cooling (negative PDO). Much of the long-term predictability of drought frequency may reside in the multidecadal behavior of the North Atlantic Ocean. Should the current positive AMO (warm North Atlantic) conditions persist into the upcoming decade, we suggest two possible drought scenarios that resemble the continental-scale patterns of the 1930s (positive PDO) and 1950s (negative PDO) drought. IS - 12 JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America EP - 4141 TI - Pacific and Atlantic Ocean Influences on Multidecadal Drought Frequency in the United States PB - National Academy of Sciences VL - 101 SP - 4136 KW - atlantic-multidecadal-oscillation KW - climate-change KW - climate-variability KW - disturbances KW - drought KW - pacific-decadal-oscillation AU - Mccabe, Gregory AU - Palecki, Michael AU - Betancourt, Julio AU - Fung, Inez PY - 2004/// UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3371575 ER -