Risk at a turning point? Export

@article{citeulike:2679296, abstract = {There is increasing recognition in comparative risk assessment of the intrinsic subjectivity of fundamental framing assumptions and the consequent necessity for active participation in analysis by all interested and affected parties. Despite this, there remains considerable inertia in the implementation of these insights in formal policy making and regulatory procedures on risk. Here, the issue seems as often to be seen as a need for better 'communication' and 'management' as for better analysis, with attention devoted as much to the classification of divergent public perspectives as to techniques for direct stakeholder participation. Pointing to the fundamental methodological problems posed in risk assessment by the conditions of ignorance and Arrow's impossibility, the present paper contends that public participation is as much a matter of analytical rigour as it is of political legitimacy. It is argued that straightforward techniques such as multi-criteria and sensitivity analysis, along with a formal approach to diversification across portfolios of 'less risky' options, may go some way toward addressing these apparently intractable problems.}, author = {Stirling, Andrew}, citeulike-article-id = {2679296}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/136698798377204}, doi = {10.1080/136698798377204}, journal = {Journal of Risk Research}, keywords = {analysis, arrow, assessment, assumption, communication, comparative, criteria, framing, ignorance, impossibility, management, mapping, mtr, multi, participation, perspective, public, risk, sensitivity, uncertainty}, number = {2}, pages = {97--109}, posted-at = {2008-04-17 02:22:04}, priority = {3}, publisher = {Routledge}, title = {Risk at a turning point?}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/136698798377204}, volume = {1}, year = {1998} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:2679296 L3 - citeulike-article-id:2679296 N2 - There is increasing recognition in comparative risk assessment of the intrinsic subjectivity of fundamental framing assumptions and the consequent necessity for active participation in analysis by all interested and affected parties. Despite this, there remains considerable inertia in the implementation of these insights in formal policy making and regulatory procedures on risk. Here, the issue seems as often to be seen as a need for better 'communication' and 'management' as for better analysis, with attention devoted as much to the classification of divergent public perspectives as to techniques for direct stakeholder participation. Pointing to the fundamental methodological problems posed in risk assessment by the conditions of ignorance and Arrow's impossibility, the present paper contends that public participation is as much a matter of analytical rigour as it is of political legitimacy. It is argued that straightforward techniques such as multi-criteria and sensitivity analysis, along with a formal approach to diversification across portfolios of 'less risky' options, may go some way toward addressing these apparently intractable problems. IS - 2 JF - Journal of Risk Research EP - 109 TI - Risk at a turning point? PB - Routledge VL - 1 SP - 97 KW - analysis KW - arrow KW - assessment KW - assumption KW - communication KW - comparative KW - criteria KW - framing KW - ignorance KW - impossibility KW - management KW - mapping KW - mtr KW - multi KW - participation KW - perspective KW - public KW - risk KW - sensitivity KW - uncertainty AU - Stirling, Andrew PY - 1998/// UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/136698798377204 ER -