CiteULike: nurban's decision-theory [12 articles]

What Is the True Value of Forecasts?

In Weather, Climate, and Society, Vol. 1, No. 1. (1 October 2009), pp. 22-37.

by Antony Millner

posted to weather statistics forecasting decision-theory by nurban on 2009-12-03 15:22:49 as

Simulation-based sequential Bayesian design

Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, Vol. 137, No. 10. (01 October 2007), pp. 3140-3150.

by P. Muller, D. Berry, A. Grieve, M. Smith, M. Krams

posted to statistics optimal design decision-theory bayesian by nurban on 2009-11-20 02:35:06 as

Using Neural Measures of Economic Value to Solve the Public Goods Free-Rider Problem

Science, Vol. 326, No. 5952. (23 October 2009), pp. 596-599.

by Ian Krajbich, Colin Camerer, John Ledyard, Antonio Rangel

posted to policy nmr neural economics decision-theory by nurban on 2009-11-16 16:10:53 as

Strong profiling is not mathematically optimal for discovering rare malfeasors

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2 February 2009)

by William H. Press

posted to decision-theory detection policy sampling statistics by nurban on 2009-05-04 18:40:47 as

along with 5 people vtraag tomhebbron shoshin eyliu kevinchannon

A Decision Theoretic Approach to Model Averaging

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series D): The Statistican, Vol. 50, No. 1. (2001), pp. 31-39.

by S. G. Walker, E. Gutierrez-Pena, P. Muliere

posted to bma decision-theory statistics by nurban on 2009-03-02 15:35:17 as

Signal detectability in extreme precipitation changes assessed from twentieth century climate simulations

Climate Dynamics, Vol. 32, No. 1., pp. 95-111.

by Seung-Ki Min, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Petra Friederichs, Andreas Hense

posted to bayesian climate decision-theory extreme fingerprint gcm perfect-model precipitation signal statistics by nurban on 2009-01-27 18:27:36 as

Negative learning

Climatic Change, Vol. 89, No. 1. (1 July 2008), pp. 155-172.

by Michael Oppenheimer, Brian O’neill, Mort Webster

posted to antarctic bias climate decision-theory ice learning ozone policy stratosphere uncertainty by nurban on 2008-09-23 20:55:18 as

Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2163-2177.

by David A. Stainforth, Thomas E. Downing, Richard Washington, Ana Lopez, Mark New

posted to adaptation bias climate decision-theory ensemble error impacts model policy prediction regional statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:02:04 as

along with 1 person tamsinedwards

Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2145-2161.

by D. A. Stainforth, M. R. Allen, E. R. Tredger, L. A. Smith

posted to bias climate decision-theory ensemble error model prediction statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:01:13 as

along with 1 person tamsinedwards

The coupling of optimal economic growth and climate dynamics

Climatic Change, Vol. 79, No. 1. (28 November 2006), pp. 103-119.

by Olivier Bahn, Laurent Drouet, Neil Edwards, et al.Alain Haurie, Reto Knutti, Socrates Kypreos, Thomas Stocker, Jean-Philippe Vial

posted to abatement carbon climate co2 decision-theory economics emic emissions iam moc model optimal policy by nurban on 2008-01-08 15:43:05 as

An oracle based method to compute a coupled equilibrium in a model of international climate policy

Computational Management Science

by Laurent Drouet, Alain Haurie, Francesco Moresino, Jean-Philippe Vial, Marc Vielle, Laurent Viguier

posted to climate decision-theory economics game-theory model policy by nurban on 2008-01-08 15:19:23 as

A Decision Theoretic Approach to Model Averaging

by S. G. Walker, E. Gutierrez-Pena, P. Muliere

posted to bayesian bma decision-theory statistics by nurban on 2007-03-27 18:13:23 as

along with 1 person davidr

Sort by:
Order:	Default Ascending Descending
Empty fields:	Default First Last

	What Is the True Value of Forecasts? [My Copy] In Weather, Climate, and Society, Vol. 1, No. 1. (1 October 2009), pp. 22-37. by Antony Millner posted to weather statistics forecasting decision-theory by nurban on 2009-12-03 15:22:49 as
	Simulation-based sequential Bayesian design [My Copy] Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, Vol. 137, No. 10. (01 October 2007), pp. 3140-3150. by P. Muller, D. Berry, A. Grieve, M. Smith, M. Krams posted to statistics optimal design decision-theory bayesian by nurban on 2009-11-20 02:35:06 as
	Using Neural Measures of Economic Value to Solve the Public Goods Free-Rider Problem [My Copy] Science, Vol. 326, No. 5952. (23 October 2009), pp. 596-599. by Ian Krajbich, Colin Camerer, John Ledyard, Antonio Rangel posted to policy nmr neural economics decision-theory by nurban on 2009-11-16 16:10:53 as
	Strong profiling is not mathematically optimal for discovering rare malfeasors [My Copy] Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2 February 2009) by William H. Press posted to decision-theory detection policy sampling statistics by nurban on 2009-05-04 18:40:47 as along with 5 people vtraag tomhebbron shoshin eyliu kevinchannon
	A Decision Theoretic Approach to Model Averaging [My Copy] Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series D): The Statistican, Vol. 50, No. 1. (2001), pp. 31-39. by S. G. Walker, E. Gutierrez-Pena, P. Muliere posted to bma decision-theory statistics by nurban on 2009-03-02 15:35:17 as
	Signal detectability in extreme precipitation changes assessed from twentieth century climate simulations [My Copy] Climate Dynamics, Vol. 32, No. 1., pp. 95-111. by Seung-Ki Min, Xuebin Zhang, Francis Zwiers, Petra Friederichs, Andreas Hense posted to bayesian climate decision-theory extreme fingerprint gcm perfect-model precipitation signal statistics by nurban on 2009-01-27 18:27:36 as
	Negative learning [My Copy] Climatic Change, Vol. 89, No. 1. (1 July 2008), pp. 155-172. by Michael Oppenheimer, Brian O’neill, Mort Webster posted to antarctic bias climate decision-theory ice learning ozone policy stratosphere uncertainty by nurban on 2008-09-23 20:55:18 as
	Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2163-2177. by David A. Stainforth, Thomas E. Downing, Richard Washington, Ana Lopez, Mark New posted to adaptation bias climate decision-theory ensemble error impacts model policy prediction regional statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:02:04 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2145-2161. by D. A. Stainforth, M. R. Allen, E. R. Tredger, L. A. Smith posted to bias climate decision-theory ensemble error model prediction statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:01:13 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	The coupling of optimal economic growth and climate dynamics [My Copy] Climatic Change, Vol. 79, No. 1. (28 November 2006), pp. 103-119. by Olivier Bahn, Laurent Drouet, Neil Edwards, et al.Alain Haurie, Reto Knutti, Socrates Kypreos, Thomas Stocker, Jean-Philippe Vial posted to abatement carbon climate co2 decision-theory economics emic emissions iam moc model optimal policy by nurban on 2008-01-08 15:43:05 as
	An oracle based method to compute a coupled equilibrium in a model of international climate policy [My Copy] Computational Management Science by Laurent Drouet, Alain Haurie, Francesco Moresino, Jean-Philippe Vial, Marc Vielle, Laurent Viguier posted to climate decision-theory economics game-theory model policy by nurban on 2008-01-08 15:19:23 as
	A Decision Theoretic Approach to Model Averaging [My Copy] by S. G. Walker, E. Gutierrez-Pena, P. Muliere posted to bayesian bma decision-theory statistics by nurban on 2007-03-27 18:13:23 as along with 1 person davidr

nurban's decision-theory [12 articles] Export Sort

nurban's tags

climate	1553
model	420
paleoclimate	353
ocean	337
statistics	325
temperature	249
carbon	244
observations	237
co2	226
dynamics	210
regional	165
gcm	158
feedback	158
bias	153
glacial	149
ice	146
atmosphere	135
prediction	129
vegetation	129
radiative-forcing	120
moc	120
nonlinear	115
warming	113
projections	110
weather	109
bayesian	108
policy	108
cloud	107
precipitation	104
trend	101
climate-sensitivity	100
uncertainty	100
emissions	98
correlation	96
variation	93
impacts	93
ecology	92
hydrology	88
aerosol	81
proxy	81
ensemble	80
economics	80
heat	76
atlantic	75
sea-level-rise	74
spatial	74
ecosystem	73
stochastic	72
skill	71
time-series	68
interglacial	67
tropics	66
antarctic	66
melting	64
arctic	63
anthropogenic	62
intercomparison	60
circulation	60
error	59
satellite	57
forecasting	57
ice-age	55
flux	54
assimilation	53
seasonal	53
terrestrial	51
solar	51
greenland	51
mitigation	49
surface	47
ozone	47
sensitivity	46
natural	45
ghg	45
albedo	44
biology	42
enso	42
intermodel	42
extreme	41
land-use	39
methane	38
abrupt	38
water-vapor	38
milankovitch	37
ipcc	37
attribution	36
insolation	35
cooling	35
volcanism	34
evolution	33
global	33
sea-ice	32
wind	32
physics	32
energy	32
gaussian-process	32
threshold	31
periodic	31
detection	31
troposphere	31
chemistry	30
permafrost	30
holocene	29
water	29
stabilization	28
land	27
regression	27
northern-hemisphere	27
nitrogen	27
decadal	26
agriculture	26
abatement	26
entropy	26
multiscale	25
information	25
soil	25
lgm	25
autocorrelation	25
review	24
stratosphere	24
salinity	24
spacetime	24
millennial	23
sequestration	22
us	22
genetic	22
plankton	22
spectral	21
variance	21
emic	21
transport	21
pacific	21
younger-dryas	20
covariance	20
convection	20
numerical	20
petm	20
radiation	20
hierarchical	20
interannual	20
network	19
hurricane	19
emulator	19
do-event	19
eof	19
cosmic	19
oxygen	19
smc	18
sulfur	18
fertilization	18
southern-hemisphere	18
extinction	18
kriging	17
adaptation	17
vertical-mixing	17
drought	17
geoengineering	17
hindcast	16
reduced	16
southern	16
biogeochemistry	16
mcmc	16
eocene	16
kalman	16
optimal	15
europe	15
meridional	15
productivity	15
biomass	15
deforestation	15
coupled	14
cretaceous	14
geology	14
soot	14
pca	14
pleistocene	14
eemian	13
model-selection	13
boreal	13
parameterization	13
transient	13
noise	13
dimensionality-reduction	13
probability	12
lapse-rate	12
decision-theory	12
food	12
summer	12
linear	12
calcium	12
acidification	12
snow	12
environment	12
non-gaussian	12
deep-water	11
superparameterization	11
polar	11
north-america	11
sustainable	11
scaling	11
calibration	11
fire	11
deep	11
ebm	11
iron	11
eddy	11
bma	10
monsoon	10
teleconnection	10
diffusion	10
cap-trade	10
respiration	10
microbiology	10
ltp	10
interpolation	10
monte-carlo	10
longwave	10
africa	10
thermodynamics	10
nao	10
tectonic	9
magnetic	9
polar-amplification	9
prior	9
cenozoic	9
validation	9
amazon	9
fossil	9
isotope	9
pliocene	9
shortwave	9
astronomy	9
overconfidence	9
burning	9
significance	9
urban	8
glacier	8
anoxia	8
fingerprint	8
lakes	8
nutrient	8
response	8
radiocarbon	8
tree-ring	8
organic	8
runoff	8
stochastic-resonance	8
species	8
approximation	8
radiosonde	8
irrigation	8
dust	8
coral	7
sres	7
astrophysics	7
asia	7
tundra	7
tax	7
learning	7
efficiency	7
reanalysis	7
design	7
peat	7
snowball-earth	7
nox	7
risk	7
photosynthesis	7
evaporation	7
motif	7
8ka	7
condensed-matter	7
inverse	7
maxent	6
borehole	6
paleocene	6
irradiance	6
zonal	6
stomata	6
itcz	6
gradient	6
population-dynamics	6
phosphorus	6
gaussian	6
upwelling	6
biofuel	6
wais	6
us-sw	6
iam	6
nonstationary	6
oligocene	6
radiative-transfer	6
turbulence	6
us-w	6
diurnal	6
age	6
pressure	5
pollution	5
china	5
symmetry	5
transportation	5
ordovician	5
hemisphere	5
selection	5
nurban	5
solar-system	5
forcing	5
svd	5
impulse-response	5
risk-management	5
weathering	5
health	5
sampling	5
mis11	5
epidemiology	5
centennial	5
mjo	5
flooding	5
desert	4
path-integral	4
winter	4
pollen	4
australia	4
phase-transition	4
lia	4
quantum	4
4dvar	4
temporal	4
storm	4
ccn	4
annual	4
dic	4
indian	4
dms	4
downscaling	4
credits	4
wetland	4
gravity	4
nonparametric	4
sparse	4
convolution	4
genome	4
scenario	4
critical	4
missing-data	4
fuel	3
boundary-layer	3
hmm	3
night	3
neural	3
medicine	3
cointegration	3
perfect-model	3
proterozoic	3
hysteresis	3
space	3
adjoint	3
gmrf	3
thermokarst	3
speleotherm	3
cfc	3
coastal	3
stasis	3
us-ne	3
disturbance	3
foraminifera	3
chlorophyll	3
nano	3
procrastination	3
bibtex-import	3
exoplanet	3
daily	3
mixture	3
multimodel	3
q10	3
variable-selection	3
speciation	3
replication	3
phanerozoic	3
geometry	3
algae	3
heat-island	3
spectrum	3
doc	3
cross-validation	3
mars	3
manganese	2
polar-wander	2
multidecadal	2
n2o	2
wavelet	2
day	2
neoproterozoic	2
paleogene	2
perturbed-physics	2
stern	2
frequentist	2
mass	2
anova	2
pdo	2
signal	2
rcm	2
psychology	2
divergence	2
trade	2
pattern	2
local-regression	2
mediterranean	2
bipolar-seesaw	2
reduction	2
northern	2
consistency	2
quaternary	2
uk	2
shipping	2
geomorphic	2
changepoint	2
archean	2
discounting	2
bolling-allerod	2
causal	2
engineering	2
cognitive	2
subglacial	2
uv	2
nuclear	2
fracture	2
bioenergy	2
tomography	2
rain-ratio	2
non-separable	2
us-se	2
clathrate	2
active-layer	2
power-law	2
radioisotope	2
phenology	2
topography	2
overshoot	2
miocene	2
modis	2
confidence-interval	2
endogeneous	2
abc	2
eutrophication	2
earthquake	2
science	2
triassic	2
variational	1
deuterium	1
software	1
radar	1
biophysics	1
biodiversity	1
bmc	1
acid-rain	1
eiv	1
diesel	1
conservation	1
nadw	1
3dvar	1
commitment	1
permian	1
insurance	1
technology	1
bioengineering	1
weekly	1
photsynthesis	1
paleozoic	1
paleobiology	1
reforestation	1
image	1
tornado	1
ab-initio	1
ica	1
canada	1
mesoscsale	1
soi	1
interannaul	1
maunder	1
hominid	1
innovation	1
anthropocene	1
latent-heat	1
paleontology	1
co	1
foraminfera	1
nonequilibrium	1
conditional	1
tertiary	1
cllimate	1
germany	1
iceberg	1
brain	1
bond	1
nowcasting	1
perturbation	1
extrapolation	1
mutation	1
graph	1
lysocline	1