nurban's ensemble [79 articles] Export

Recent papers added to nurban's library classified by the tag ensemble. You can also see everyone's ensemble.

	Bayesian multi-model projection of climate: bias assumptions and interannual variability [My Copy] Climate Dynamics, Vol. 33, No. 6. (1 November 2009), pp. 849-868. by Christoph Buser, H. Künsch, D. Lüthi, M. Wild, C. Schär posted to variation statistics regional rcm projections model intermodel interannaul gcm ensemble bias bayesian by nurban on 2009-11-11 18:37:08 as
	Using tracer observations to reduce the uncertainty of ocean diapycnal mixing and climate–carbon cycle projections [My Copy] Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 23, No. 4. (20 October 2009), GB4009. by Andreas Schmittner, Nathan M. Urban, Klaus Keller, Damon Matthews posted to vertical-mixing statistics projections ocean nurban ensemble emic diffusion climate carbon biogeochemistry bayesian assimilation by nurban on 2009-11-02 21:29:00 as
	The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions [My Copy] Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 90, No. 8. (1 August 2009), pp. 1095-1107. by Ed Hawkins, Rowan Sutton posted to variation uncertainty regional prediction natural model intermodel error ensemble climate bias by nurban on 2009-09-21 21:51:12 as along with 1 person AndrewCharltonPerez
	Stochastic Nature of Physical Parameterizations in Ensemble Prediction: A Stochastic Convection Approach [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 136, No. 2. (1 February 2008), pp. 483-496. by João Teixeira, Carolyn A. Reynolds posted to weather tropics stochastic prediction parameterization ensemble convection climate by nurban on 2009-09-15 20:47:24 as along with 1 person rowley
	A Spectral Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme and Its Impact on Flow-Dependent Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System [My Copy] Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 66, No. 3. (1 March 2009), pp. 603-626. by J. Berner, G. J. Shutts, M. Leutbecher, T. N. Palmer posted to weather stochastic skill prediction model forecasting ensemble climate by nurban on 2009-09-15 19:48:09 as
	A probabilistic calibration of climate sensitivity and terrestrial carbon change in GENIE-1 [My Copy] Climate Dynamics by Philip Holden, N. Edwards, K. Oliver, T. Lenton, R. Wilkinson posted to paleoclimate model lgm glacial ensemble emulator emic climate-sensitivity climate carbon by nurban on 2009-08-31 15:17:50 as
	On the contribution of local feedback mechanisms to the range of climate sensitivity in two GCM ensembles [My Copy] Climate Dynamics, Vol. 27, No. 1. (19 July 2006), pp. 17-38. by M. Webb, C. Senior, D. Sexton, et al.W. Ingram, K. Williams, M. Ringer, B. Mcavaney, R. Colman, B. Soden, R. Gudgel, T. Knutson, S. Emori, T. Ogura, Y. Tsushima, N. Andronova, B. Li, I. Musat, S. Bony, K. Taylor posted to variation model intermodel intercomparison gcm feedback ensemble cloud climate-sensitivity climate by nurban on 2009-08-21 19:00:30 as along with 2 people ldhsmith mmeteo
	Climate projections: Past performance no guarantee of future skill? [My Copy] Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36, No. 13. (7 July 2009), L13704. by C. Reifen, R. Toumi posted to skill projections model hindcast gcm ensemble climate bias by nurban on 2009-08-03 17:05:53 as along with 2 people and 1 group cermak Magik APECS
	Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, No. 13. (1 July 2009), pp. 3540-3557. by Jonathan Rougier, David M. H. Sexton, James M. Murphy, David Stainforth posted to climate climate-sensitivity cloud emulator ensemble feedback gcm sensitivity uncertainty by nurban on 2009-07-30 22:24:15 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Theoretical and Practical Issues of Ensemble Data Assimilation in Weather and Climate [My Copy] Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic and Hydrologic Applications (2009), pp. 67-84. by Milija Zupanski posted to assimilation climate ensemble kalman smc weather by nurban on 2009-07-08 16:12:31 as along with 1 person rowley
	Comment on lsquoCan multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts?rsquo [My Copy] Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 135, No. 639. (2009), pp. 535-539. by A. P. Weigel, N. E. Bowler posted to climate ensemble forecasting intermodel overconfidence prediction seasonal skill by nurban on 2009-07-02 02:46:27 as
	Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies [My Copy] Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 106, No. 21. (26 May 2009), pp. 8441-8446. by David W. Pierce, Tim P. Barnett, Benjamin D. Santer, Peter J. Gleckler posted to skill regional prediction multimodel model-selection model hindcast global gcm ensemble downscaling detection climate bma attribution by nurban on 2009-06-22 23:08:38 as
	The ensemble Kalman filter for combined state and parameter estimation [My Copy] Control Systems Magazine, IEEE In Control Systems Magazine, IEEE, Vol. 29, No. 3. (2009), pp. 82-104. by G. Evensen posted to ensemble kalman smc statistics by nurban on 2009-06-18 16:46:18 as along with 1 person jford
	Ensemble Kalman filter [My Copy] Control Systems Magazine, IEEE In Control Systems Magazine, IEEE, Vol. 29, No. 3. (2009), pp. 34-46. by S. Lakshmivarahan, D. J. Stensrud posted to ensemble kalman smc statistics weather by nurban on 2009-06-18 16:45:46 as along with 1 person jford
	September sea-ice cover in the Arctic Ocean projected to vanish by 2100 [My Copy] Nature Geoscience, Vol. 2, No. 5. (15 March 2009), pp. 341-343. by Julien Boe, Alex Hall, Xin Qu posted to uncertainty summer sea-ice projections model ipcc gcm ensemble climate calibration arctic by nurban on 2009-06-16 16:06:45 as
	From climate-change spaghetti to climate-change distributions for 21st Century California [My Copy] San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, Vol. 3, No. 1. (March 2005) by Michael D. Dettinger posted to climate ensemble model precipitation projections regional temperature uncertainty us-sw us-w by nurban on 2009-06-16 15:35:35 as
	Elucidating Model Inadequacies in a Cloud Parameterization by Use of an Ensemble-Based Calibration Framework [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 135, No. 12. (1 December 2007), pp. 4077-4096. by Jean-Christophe Golaz, Vincent E. Larson, James A. Hansen, David P. Schanen, Brian M. Griffin posted to bias calibration climate cloud ensemble error gcm model parameterization by nurban on 2009-06-16 15:24:46 as
	Orthogonal and nearly orthogonal designs for computer experiments [My Copy] Biometrika (9 January 2009), asn057. by Derek Bingham, Randy R. Sitter, Boxin Tang posted to design ensemble model statistics by nurban on 2009-06-09 17:45:51 as along with 1 person renreff
	Bayesian Modeling of Uncertainty in Ensembles of Climate Models [My Copy] Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 104, No. 485. (2009), pp. 97-116. by Richard L. Smith, Claudia Tebaldi, Doug Nychka, Linda O. Mearns posted to bayesian climate ensemble gcm intermodel ipcc model projections regional statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2009-05-03 01:23:48 as
	A surrogate ensemble study of climate reconstruction methods: Stochasticity and robustness. [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. preprint, No. 2008. (1 August 2008), pp. 0000-0000. by Bo Christiansen, T. Schmith, P. Thejll posted to bias climate ensemble holocene paleoclimate perfect-model proxy skill stochastic by nurban on 2009-03-09 00:06:32 as
	Calculation of Average, Uncertainty Range, and Reliability of Regional Climate Changes from AOGCM Simulations via the “Reliability Ensemble Averaging” (REA) Method [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 15, No. 10. (1 May 2002), pp. 1141-1158. by Filippo Giorgi, Linda O. Mearns posted to aogcm climate ensemble intermodel model regional skill uncertainty by nurban on 2009-02-07 19:58:56 as
	Generalized ensemble methods for de novo structure prediction [My Copy] Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 106, No. 5. (3 February 2009), pp. 1415-1420. by Alena Shmygelska, Michael Levitt posted to biophysics ensemble mcmc prediction by nurban on 2009-02-04 14:34:24 as along with 5 people rabio kentsis apaydin hmk amishp
	Spatially and temporally varying adaptive covariance inflation for ensemble filters [My Copy] Tellus A, Vol. 61, No. 1., pp. 72-83. by J. E. F. F. R. E. Y. L. ANDERSON posted to assimilation covariance ensemble kalman spacetime statistics variance by nurban on 2009-01-27 15:24:32 as
	Impact of Ensemble Size on Ensemble Prediction [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 126, No. 9. (1998), pp. 2503-2518. by Buizza posted to ensemble error forecasting prediction skill validation weather by nurban on 2008-09-17 14:23:51 as
	Seasonal Predictions, Probabilistic Verifications, and Ensemble Size [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 14, No. 7. (2001), pp. 1671-1676. by Arun Kumar, Anthony G. Barnston, Martin P. Hoerling posted to climate ensemble forecasting prediction seasonal skill by nurban on 2008-09-17 14:15:06 as
	Improved Seasonal Probability Forecasts [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 16, No. 11. (2003), pp. 1684-1701. by Viatcheslav V. Kharin, Francis W. Zwiers posted to climate ensemble forecasting gaussian seasonal skill by nurban on 2008-09-17 13:58:32 as
	The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination [My Copy] Tellus A, Vol. 57, No. 3. (May 2005), pp. 234-252. by Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Renat Hagedorn, T. Palmer posted to calibration climate ensemble forecasting intermodel model seasonal by nurban on 2008-09-17 13:42:44 as
	Generalization of the Discrete Brier and Ranked Probability Skill Scores for Weighted Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 135, No. 7. (2007), pp. 2778-2785. by Andreas P. Weigel, Mark A. Liniger, Christof Appenzeller posted to ensemble forecasting intermodel skill weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:39:35 as along with 1 person rowley
	Measures of skill and value of ensemble prediction systems, their interrelationship and the effect of ensemble size [My Copy] Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 127, No. 577. (2001), pp. 2473-2489. by David S. Richardson posted to ensemble forecasting prediction skill statistics weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:35:53 as along with 1 person liucun
	Theoretical examination of a multi-model composite for seasonal prediction [My Copy] Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32 (22 September 2005), L18707. by Jin H. Yoo, In-Sik Kang posted to bias climate correlation ensemble intermodel prediction seasonal skill statistics by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:20:35 as
	Skill of multi-model ENSO probability forecasts [My Copy] (2008) by Michael K. Tippett, Anthony G. Barnston posted to climate ensemble enso forecasting information intermodel skill statistics by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:19:21 as
	Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts? [My Copy] Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 134, No. 630. (2008), pp. 241-260. by A. P. Weigel, M. A. Liniger, C. Appenzeller posted to climate ensemble forecasting intermodel overconfidence prediction skill by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:16:11 as
	A multi-model superensemble algorithm for seasonal climate prediction using DEMETER forecasts [My Copy] Tellus A, Vol. 57, No. 3. (May 2005), pp. 280-289. by W. Yun, L. Stefanova, A. Mitra, T. S. Vijaya V. Kumar, W. Dewar, T. Krishnamurti posted to bias climate ensemble forecasting intermodel model prediction seasonal statistics by nurban on 2008-09-16 19:44:18 as
	Improved Weather and Seasonal Climate Forecasts from Multimodel Superensemble [My Copy] Science, Vol. 285, No. 5433. (3 September 1999), pp. 1548-1550. by T. N. Krishnamurti, C. M. Kishtawal, Timothy E. LaRow, et al.David R. Bachiochi, Zhan Zhang, C. Eric Williford, Sulochana Gadgil, Sajani Surendran posted to climate ensemble forecasting intermodel seasonal statistics weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 19:15:34 as along with 1 person powerlee
	Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 135, No. 4. (2007), pp. 1386-1402. by Veronica J. Berrocal, Adrian E. Raftery, Tilmann Gneiting posted to bma ensemble forecasting spatial statistics weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 18:56:00 as
	Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling [My Copy] International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 27, No. 12. (2007), pp. 1547-1578. by H. J. Fowler, S. Blenkinsop, C. Tebaldi posted to climate downscaling ensemble extreme hydrology impacts intercomparison model policy precipitation regional by nurban on 2008-08-05 19:22:35 as
	Hierarchical evaluation of IPCC AR4 coupled climate models with systematic consideration of model uncertainties [My Copy] Climate Dynamics, Vol. 29, No. 7. (13 December 2007), pp. 853-868. by Seung-Ki Min, Andreas Hense posted to bayesian bma climate ensemble gcm hierarchical hindcast ipcc model regional skill statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 19:00:30 as
	Regional Climate Research: Needs and Opportunities [My Copy] Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 84, No. 1. (2003), pp. 89-95. by Ruby L. Leung, Linda O. Mearns, Filippo Giorgi, Robert L. Wilby posted to climate ensemble prediction projections regional skill by nurban on 2008-08-05 18:39:32 as
	Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases [My Copy] Nature, Vol. 433, No. 7024. (27 January 2005), pp. 403-406. by D. A. Stainforth, T. Aina, C. Christensen, et al.M. Collins, N. Faull, D. J. Frame, J. A. Kettleborough, S. Knight, A. Martin, J. M. Murphy, C. Piani, D. Sexton, L. A. Smith, R. A. Spicer, A. J. Thorpe, M. R. Allen posted to climate ensemble prediction projections uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:24:47 as along with 3 people and 2 groups Flit vassilyl tamsinedwards biodiversity_conservation Global_biodiversity_model
	The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2053-2075. by Claudia Tebaldi, Reto Knutti posted to climate ensemble intermodel projections regional skill statistics temperature by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:17:13 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Efficient estimation and ensemble generation in climate modelling [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2077-2088. by J. D. Annan, J. C. Hargreaves posted to climate ensemble kalman smc statistics by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:14:13 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Inference in ensemble experiments [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2133-2143. by Jonathan Rougier, David M. Sexton posted to climate emulator ensemble statistics by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:13:16 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 1971-1992. by D. J. Frame, N. E. Faull, M. M. Joshi, M. R. Allen posted to climate ensemble forecasting model projections statistics by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:12:08 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2163-2177. by David A. Stainforth, Thomas E. Downing, Richard Washington, Ana Lopez, Mark New posted to adaptation bias climate decision-theory ensemble error impacts model policy prediction regional statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:02:04 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Confidence, uncertainty and decision-support relevance in climate predictions [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 2145-2161. by D. A. Stainforth, M. R. Allen, E. R. Tredger, L. A. Smith posted to bias climate decision-theory ensemble error model prediction statistics uncertainty by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:01:13 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	Accounting for Model Error in Ensemble-Based State Estimation and Forecasting [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 130, No. 10. (1 October 2002), pp. 2373-2391. by James A. Hansen posted to 4dvar assimilation bias climate ensemble error forecasting kalman model by nurban on 2008-07-05 21:01:14 as along with 1 person rowley
	Bayesian Design and Analysis for Superensemble-Based Climate Forecasting [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, No. 9. (1 May 2008), pp. 1891-1910. by Mark L. Berliner, Yongku Kim posted to bayesian bma climate ensemble forecasting intermodel model statistics by nurban on 2008-07-05 20:57:50 as
	Changes in the European Precipitation Climatologies as Derived by an Ensemble of Regional Models [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, No. 11. (1 June 2008), pp. 2540-2557. by Francisco J. Tapiador, Enrique Sánchez posted to climate ensemble europe model precipitation projections rcm regional by nurban on 2008-07-05 16:35:46 as
	Long-Term Climate Commitments Projected with Climate–Carbon Cycle Models [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, No. 12. (1 June 2008), pp. 2721-2751. by G. K. Plattner, R. Knutti, F. Joos, et al.T. F. Stocker, W. von Bloh, V. Brovkin, D. Cameron, E. Driesschaert, S. Dutkiewicz, M. Eby, N. R. Edwards, T. Fichefet, J. C. Hargreaves, C. D. Jones, M. F. Loutre, H. D. Matthews, A. Mouchet, S. A. Müller, S. Nawrath, A. Price, A. Sokolov, K. M. Strassmann, A. J. Weaver posted to carbon climate emic emissions ensemble intermodel moc projections by nurban on 2008-07-05 16:26:54 as
	Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts [My Copy] Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 89, No. 4. (1 April 2008), pp. 459-470. by T. N. Palmer, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer, M. J. Rodwell posted to climate ensemble forecasting gcm model prediction projections seasonal skill by nurban on 2008-07-03 16:46:07 as

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climate	1523
model	414
paleoclimate	341
ocean	334
statistics	316
temperature	245
carbon	238
observations	232
co2	223
dynamics	208
regional	162
gcm	157
feedback	156
bias	149
ice	145
glacial	144
atmosphere	132
vegetation	128
prediction	126
moc	119
radiative-forcing	119
nonlinear	114
warming	112
projections	110
cloud	107
bayesian	105
policy	105
weather	105
trend	100
climate-sensitivity	99
precipitation	98
uncertainty	98
emissions	97
correlation	94
impacts	93
ecology	92
variation	92
hydrology	88
aerosol	80
proxy	80
economics	79
ensemble	79
atlantic	75
heat	75
spatial	72
stochastic	72
ecosystem	71
sea-level-rise	71
skill	71
time-series	66
tropics	66
antarctic	65
melting	64
arctic	63
interglacial	63
anthropogenic	61
circulation	60
intercomparison	59
error	58
satellite	55
forecasting	54
ice-age	54
flux	53
seasonal	53
assimilation	51
greenland	51
solar	50
terrestrial	50
mitigation	49
ozone	47
surface	47
sensitivity	46
ghg	45
natural	45
albedo	44
enso	42
intermodel	42
biology	39
land-use	39
extreme	38
abrupt	37
ipcc	37
methane	37
water-vapor	37
attribution	36
milankovitch	36
cooling	35
insolation	34
volcanism	34
global	32
sea-ice	32
energy	31
periodic	31
physics	31
threshold	31
wind	31
detection	30
evolution	30
gaussian-process	30
troposphere	30
chemistry	29
permafrost	29
water	29
holocene	28
nitrogen	27
northern-hemisphere	27
stabilization	27
abatement	26
decadal	26
entropy	26
land	26
regression	26
agriculture	25
autocorrelation	25
lgm	25
multiscale	25
soil	25
spacetime	24
stratosphere	24
information	23
millennial	23
salinity	23
genetic	22
sequestration	22
pacific	21
plankton	21
review	21
transport	21
variance	21
convection	20
covariance	20
emic	20
hierarchical	20
interannual	20
spectral	20
us	20
cosmic	19
do-event	19
hurricane	19
radiation	19
younger-dryas	19
eof	18
fertilization	18
network	18
numerical	18
oxygen	18
petm	18
southern-hemisphere	18
drought	17
emulator	17
extinction	17
kriging	17
smc	17
sulfur	17
vertical-mixing	17
geoengineering	16
hindcast	16
mcmc	16
adaptation	15
biomass	15
deforestation	15
eocene	15
europe	15
kalman	15
meridional	15
reduced	15
southern	15
coupled	14
optimal	14
pca	14
pleistocene	14
productivity	14
soot	14
biogeochemistry	13
boreal	13
cretaceous	13
dimensionality-reduction	13
model-selection	13
noise	13
parameterization	13
transient	13
acidification	12
calcium	12
eemian	12
food	12
geology	12
lapse-rate	12
non-gaussian	12
probability	12
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summer	12
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decision-theory	11
deep	11
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eddy	11
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polar	11
scaling	11
superparameterization	11
africa	10
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cap-trade	10
diffusion	10
ebm	10
environment	10
interpolation	10
longwave	10
ltp	10
monsoon	10
monte-carlo	10
nao	10
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teleconnection	10
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amazon	9
astronomy	9
burning	9
cenozoic	9
microbiology	9
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prior	9
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shortwave	9
validation	9
anoxia	8
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response	8
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asia	7
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iam	6
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itcz	6
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us-sw	6
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centennial	5
china	5
forcing	5
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nurban	5
ordovician	5
paleocene	5
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risk-management	5
sampling	5
selection	5
solar-system	5
stochastic-resonance	5
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4dvar	4
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adjoint	3
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daily	3
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doc	3
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hmm	3
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phanerozoic	3
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q10	3
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space	3
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thermokarst	3
us-ne	3
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abc	2
active-layer	2
anova	2
archean	2
bioenergy	2
bipolar-seesaw	2
bolling-allerod	2
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changepoint	2
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day	2
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engineering	2
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pdo	2
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bit	1
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bond	1
boron	1
brain	1
brazil	1
canada	1
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cliamte	1
cllimate	1
co	1
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cosmology	1
dark-matter	1
deuterium	1
diesel	1
dissolution	1
dynamic	1
dynamic-programming	1
eais	1
education	1
eiv	1
erosion	1
ethanol	1
eu	1
extrapolation	1
faint-young-sun	1
foraminfera	1
functional	1
game-theory	1
geomorphic	1
germany	1
graph	1
groundwater	1
helium	1
hominid	1
homogenization	1
ica	1
iceberg	1
image	1
innovation	1

nurban's ensemble [79 articles] Export

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