nurban's forecasting [55 articles] Export

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	What Is the True Value of Forecasts? [My Copy] In Weather, Climate, and Society, Vol. 1, No. 1. (1 October 2009), pp. 22-37. by Antony Millner posted to weather statistics forecasting decision-theory by nurban on 2009-12-03 15:22:49 as
	A guide to using shadowing filters for forecasting and state estimation [My Copy] Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, Vol. 238, No. 14. (01 July 2009), pp. 1260-1273. by Thomas Stemler, Kevin Judd posted to weather statistics smc nonlinear forecasting dynamics climate assimilation by nurban on 2009-10-25 20:25:30 as
	Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, No. 14. (1 July 2009), pp. 3960-3978. by Ed Hawkins, Rowan Sutton posted to skill prediction ocean model moc gcm forecasting decadal climate circulation atlantic by nurban on 2009-09-21 21:52:02 as
	The Geometry of Model Error [My Copy] Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 65, No. 6. (1 June 2008), pp. 1749-1772. by Kevin Judd, Carolyn A. Reynolds, Thomas E. Rosmond, Leonard A. Smith posted to weather prediction nonlinear model geometry forecasting error dynamics climate by nurban on 2009-09-15 21:32:40 as
	A Spectral Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme and Its Impact on Flow-Dependent Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System [My Copy] Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 66, No. 3. (1 March 2009), pp. 603-626. by J. Berner, G. J. Shutts, M. Leutbecher, T. N. Palmer posted to weather stochastic skill prediction model forecasting ensemble climate by nurban on 2009-09-15 19:48:09 as
	Information-Based Skill Scores for Probabilistic Forecasts [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 136, No. 1. (1 January 2008), pp. 352-363. by Bodo Ahrens, André Walser posted to entropy forecasting information prediction skill uncertainty by nurban on 2009-07-12 17:58:05 as
	Another look at measures of forecast accuracy [My Copy] International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 22, No. 4. (October 2006), pp. 679-688. by R. Hyndman, A. Koehler posted to error forecasting prediction skill statistics by nurban on 2009-07-07 17:09:21 as along with 3 people and 1 group rafnsi khahlert abrentnall QFRMC_ConsumerCredit
	Comment on lsquoCan multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts?rsquo [My Copy] Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 135, No. 639. (2009), pp. 535-539. by A. P. Weigel, N. E. Bowler posted to climate ensemble forecasting intermodel overconfidence prediction seasonal skill by nurban on 2009-07-02 02:46:27 as
	Broken symmetry and long-term forecasting [My Copy] Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 112 (4 December 2007), D24S17. by Christopher Essex, Silvana Ilie, Robert M. Corless posted to bias climate dynamics error forecasting nonlinear symmetry by nurban on 2009-06-16 15:19:54 as
	Probabilistic forecast for 21st century climate based on uncertainties in emissions (without policy) and climate parameters [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. preprint, No. 2009. (1 May 2009), pp. 0000-0000. by A. P. Sokolov, P. H. Stone, C. E. Forest, et al.R. Prinn, M. C. Sarofim, M. Webster, S. Paltsev, C. A. Schlosser, D. Kicklighter, S. Dutkiewicz, J. Reilly, C. Wang, B. Felzer, J. M. Melillo, Jacoby posted to abatement climate climate-sensitivity emic emissions forecasting mitigation model policy projections uncertainty by nurban on 2009-05-21 14:47:49 as
	Completing the Forecast: Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts [My Copy] (2006) by Committee posted to climate forecasting prediction uncertainty weather by nurban on 2008-09-17 19:40:06 as
	Impact of Ensemble Size on Ensemble Prediction [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 126, No. 9. (1998), pp. 2503-2518. by Buizza posted to ensemble error forecasting prediction skill validation weather by nurban on 2008-09-17 14:23:51 as
	Seasonal Predictions, Probabilistic Verifications, and Ensemble Size [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 14, No. 7. (2001), pp. 1671-1676. by Arun Kumar, Anthony G. Barnston, Martin P. Hoerling posted to climate ensemble forecasting prediction seasonal skill by nurban on 2008-09-17 14:15:06 as
	Improved Seasonal Probability Forecasts [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 16, No. 11. (2003), pp. 1684-1701. by Viatcheslav V. Kharin, Francis W. Zwiers posted to climate ensemble forecasting gaussian seasonal skill by nurban on 2008-09-17 13:58:32 as
	Uncertainty and Inference for Verification Measures [My Copy] Weather and Forecasting, Vol. 22, No. 3. (2007), pp. 637-650. by Ian T. Jolliffe posted to bayesian confidence-interval forecasting frequentist prediction skill statistics uncertainty validation weather by nurban on 2008-09-17 13:54:13 as
	Measuring forecast skill: is it real skill or is it the varying climatology? [My Copy] Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 132, No. 621C. (2006), pp. 2905-2923. by Thomas M. Hamill, Josip Juras posted to climate forecasting skill spatial temporal variation weather by nurban on 2008-09-17 13:51:07 as along with 1 person liucun
	The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting - II. Calibration and combination [My Copy] Tellus A, Vol. 57, No. 3. (May 2005), pp. 234-252. by Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Renat Hagedorn, T. Palmer posted to calibration climate ensemble forecasting intermodel model seasonal by nurban on 2008-09-17 13:42:44 as
	Generalization of the Discrete Brier and Ranked Probability Skill Scores for Weighted Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 135, No. 7. (2007), pp. 2778-2785. by Andreas P. Weigel, Mark A. Liniger, Christof Appenzeller posted to ensemble forecasting intermodel skill weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:39:35 as along with 1 person rowley
	Measures of skill and value of ensemble prediction systems, their interrelationship and the effect of ensemble size [My Copy] Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 127, No. 577. (2001), pp. 2473-2489. by David S. Richardson posted to ensemble forecasting prediction skill statistics weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:35:53 as along with 1 person liucun
	Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts Using Information Theory [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 130, No. 6. (2002), pp. 1653-1660. by Mark S. Roulston, Leonard A. Smith posted to forecasting information skill statistics weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:26:38 as
	Skill of multi-model ENSO probability forecasts [My Copy] (2008) by Michael K. Tippett, Anthony G. Barnston posted to climate ensemble enso forecasting information intermodel skill statistics by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:19:21 as
	Can multi-model combination really enhance the prediction skill of probabilistic ensemble forecasts? [My Copy] Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 134, No. 630. (2008), pp. 241-260. by A. P. Weigel, M. A. Liniger, C. Appenzeller posted to climate ensemble forecasting intermodel overconfidence prediction skill by nurban on 2008-09-16 20:16:11 as
	A multi-model superensemble algorithm for seasonal climate prediction using DEMETER forecasts [My Copy] Tellus A, Vol. 57, No. 3. (May 2005), pp. 280-289. by W. Yun, L. Stefanova, A. Mitra, T. S. Vijaya V. Kumar, W. Dewar, T. Krishnamurti posted to bias climate ensemble forecasting intermodel model prediction seasonal statistics by nurban on 2008-09-16 19:44:18 as
	Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness [My Copy] Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), Vol. 69, No. 2. (April 2007), pp. 243-268. by Gneiting, Tilmann, Balabdaoui, Fadoua, Raftery, E. Adrian posted to calibration climate forecasting probability skill statistics uncertainty weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 19:37:43 as along with 1 person and 1 group abrentnall QFRMC_ConsumerCredit
	Improved Weather and Seasonal Climate Forecasts from Multimodel Superensemble [My Copy] Science, Vol. 285, No. 5433. (3 September 1999), pp. 1548-1550. by T. N. Krishnamurti, C. M. Kishtawal, Timothy E. LaRow, et al.David R. Bachiochi, Zhan Zhang, C. Eric Williford, Sulochana Gadgil, Sajani Surendran posted to climate ensemble forecasting intermodel seasonal statistics weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 19:15:34 as along with 1 person powerlee
	Combining Spatial Statistical and Ensemble Information in Probabilistic Weather Forecasts [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 135, No. 4. (2007), pp. 1386-1402. by Veronica J. Berrocal, Adrian E. Raftery, Tilmann Gneiting posted to bma ensemble forecasting spatial statistics weather by nurban on 2008-09-16 18:56:00 as
	Probabilistic climate forecasts and inductive problems [My Copy] Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 365, No. 1857. (2007), pp. 1971-1992. by D. J. Frame, N. E. Faull, M. M. Joshi, M. R. Allen posted to climate ensemble forecasting model projections statistics by nurban on 2008-08-05 17:12:08 as along with 1 person tamsinedwards
	A Generalized Mathematical Framework for Stochastic Simulation and Forecast Of Hydrologic Time Series [My Copy] Water Resources Research, Vol. 36, No. 6. (2000), pp. 1519-1533. by Demetris Koutsoyiannis posted to covariance forecasting hydrology ltp prediction statistics stochastic time-series by nurban on 2008-07-30 16:22:36 as
	How far ahead could we predict El Niño? [My Copy] Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 29, No. 10. (31 May 2002), 1492. by Matthew Collins, David Frame, Bablu Sinha, Chris Wilson posted to climate enso forecasting prediction seasonal skill by nurban on 2008-07-21 03:18:17 as
	Accounting for Model Error in Ensemble-Based State Estimation and Forecasting [My Copy] Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 130, No. 10. (1 October 2002), pp. 2373-2391. by James A. Hansen posted to 4dvar assimilation bias climate ensemble error forecasting kalman model by nurban on 2008-07-05 21:01:14 as along with 1 person rowley
	Bayesian Design and Analysis for Superensemble-Based Climate Forecasting [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, No. 9. (1 May 2008), pp. 1891-1910. by Mark L. Berliner, Yongku Kim posted to bayesian bma climate ensemble forecasting intermodel model statistics by nurban on 2008-07-05 20:57:50 as
	Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts [My Copy] Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 89, No. 4. (1 April 2008), pp. 459-470. by T. N. Palmer, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Weisheimer, M. J. Rodwell posted to climate ensemble forecasting gcm model prediction projections seasonal skill by nurban on 2008-07-03 16:46:07 as
	A Bayesian Framework for Multimodel Regression [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, No. 12. (1 June 2007), pp. 2810-2826. by Timothy DelSole posted to bayesian climate ensemble forecasting intermodel prediction regional regression seasonal skill statistics temperature weather by nurban on 2008-07-03 16:20:38 as
	Predictability and Information Theory. Part II: Imperfect Forecasts [My Copy] Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 62, No. 9. (1 September 2005), pp. 3368-3381. by Timothy Delsole posted to climate entropy forecasting information prediction skill statistics by nurban on 2008-07-03 16:17:52 as
	Air pollution radiative forcing from specific emissions sectors at 2030 [My Copy] Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113 (25 January 2008), D02306. by Nadine Unger, Drew T. Shindell, Dorothy M. Koch, David G. Streets posted to aerosol climate emissions forecasting methane ozone projections radiative-forcing soot sulfur by nurban on 2008-07-02 15:18:32 as
	A system for operational aerosol optical depth data assimilation over global oceans [My Copy] Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113 (31 May 2008), D10208. by Jianglong Zhang, Jeffrey S. Reid, Douglas L. Westphal, Nancy L. Baker, Edward J. Hyer posted to aerosol assimilation climate forecasting observations ocean skill by nurban on 2008-06-10 18:12:39 as along with 1 person mak1964
	Forecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions [My Copy] Tellus A, Vol. 57, No. 3. (May 2005), pp. 253-264. by D. Stephenson, C. Coelho, F. Doblas-Reyes, M. Balmaseda posted to assimilation climate ensemble forecasting prediction weather by nurban on 2008-06-05 16:20:20 as along with 1 person liucun
	The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting – I. Basic concept [My Copy] Tellus A, Vol. 57, No. 3. (May 2005), pp. 219-233. by N. Renate Hagedor, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, T. N. Palmer posted to climate ensemble forecasting intermodel model seasonal by nurban on 2008-06-05 16:19:46 as
	A Kernel-Based Spatio-Temporal Dynamical Model for Nowcasting Weather Radar Reflectivities [My Copy] Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 100, No. 472. (2005), pp. 1133-1144. by Ke Xu, Christopher Wikle, Neil I. Fox posted to bayesian dynamics forecasting hierarchical nowcasting precipitation radar spacetime spatial statistics temporal weather by nurban on 2008-04-30 16:01:34 as
	ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE: Weather Forecasting with Ensemble Methods [My Copy] Science, Vol. 310, No. 5746. (14 October 2005), pp. 248-249. by Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery posted to ensemble forecasting intermodel model statistics weather by nurban on 2007-10-16 18:36:14 as along with 2 people abrentnall beete
	A Predictability Measure Applied to Seasonal Predictions of the Arctic Oscillation [My Copy] Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, No. 18. (2007), pp. 4733-4750. by Youmin Tang, Hai Lin, Jacques Derome, Michael K. Tippett posted to arctic climate ensemble entropy forecasting information periodic prediction seasonal skill statistics by nurban on 2007-10-04 15:30:12 as
	Complicated ENSO models do not significantly outperform very simple ENSO models [My Copy] International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 9999, No. 9999. (2007), n/a. by Halmar Halide, Peter Ridd posted to climate dynamics enso forecasting intercomparison model skill statistics by nurban on 2007-10-02 17:55:23 as
	Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversity [My Copy] BioScience, Vol. 57, No. 3. (2007), pp. 227-236. by Daniel B. Botkin, Henrik Saxe, Miguel B. Araújo, et al.Richard Betts, Richard H. W. Bradshaw, Tomas Cedhagen, Peter Chesson, Terry P. Dawson, Julie R. Etterson, Daniel P. Faith, Simon Ferrier, Antoine Guisan, Skjoldborg A. N. J. A. Hansen, David W. Hilbert, Craig Loehle, Chris Margules, M. A. R. K. New, Matthew J. Sobel, David R. B. Stockwell posted to climate ecology forecasting model prediction warming by nurban on 2007-09-05 22:00:45 as along with 1 person and 2 groups Flit biodiversity_conservation Global_biodiversity_model
	Constraining climate forecasts: The role of prior assumptions [My Copy] Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32 (6 May 2005), L09702. by D. J. Frame, B. B. B. Booth, J. A. Kettleborough, et al.D. A. Stainforth, J. M. Gregory, M. Collins, M. R. Allen posted to bayesian bias climate climate-sensitivity forecasting prediction prior statistics temperature by nurban on 2007-07-25 15:54:14 as along with 1 person loudbrain
	Bottom-Up Determination of Air-Sea Momentum Exchange Under a Major Tropical Cyclone [My Copy] Science, Vol. 315, No. 5819. (23 March 2007), pp. 1707-1709. by Ewa Jarosz, Douglas A. Mitchell, David W. Wang, William J. Teague posted to forecasting hurricane weather by nurban on 2007-03-28 21:55:15 as
	ATMOSPHERE: Forecasting Hurricane Intensity and Impacts [My Copy] Science, Vol. 315, No. 5816. (2 March 2007), pp. 1232-1233. by Hugh E. Willoughby posted to climate forecasting hurricane impacts weather by nurban on 2007-03-05 18:36:17 as
	Groundwater convergence as a possible mechanism for multi-year persistence in rainfall [My Copy] Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34 (2007), L02402. by Marc F. P. Bierkens, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk posted to climate drought forecasting groundwater hydrology multiyear precipitation prediction weather by nurban on 2007-02-22 14:35:01 as
	Explicitly accounting for observation error in categorical verification of forecasts [My Copy] (8 March 2005) by Neill E. Bowler posted to error forecasting observations weather by nurban on 2007-02-19 21:40:31 as
	Model error in weather forecasting [My Copy] Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol. 8 (2001), pp. 357-371. by D. Orrell, L. Smith, J. Barkmeijer, T. N. Palmer posted to error forecasting model weather by nurban on 2007-02-19 21:32:21 as
	Predicting uncertainty in forecasts of weather and climate [My Copy] Reports on Progress in Physics, Vol. 63, No. 2. (2000), pp. 71-116. by T. N. Palmer posted to climate dynamics enso forecasting prediction projections skill uncertainty weather by nurban on 2007-02-19 21:27:32 as

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climate	1537
model	417
paleoclimate	344
ocean	334
statistics	322
temperature	247
carbon	240
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gcm	157
feedback	157
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glacial	146
atmosphere	132
vegetation	129
prediction	127
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nonlinear	115
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cloud	107
bayesian	107
weather	106
policy	106
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uncertainty	98
emissions	97
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variation	93
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ecology	92
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proxy	80
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atlantic	75
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stochastic	72
skill	71
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threshold	31
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monsoon	10
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prior	9
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shortwave	9
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itcz	6
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nurban	5
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quantum	4
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ccn	4
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bibtex-import	3
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medicine	3
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doc	3
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mixture	3
fuel	3
nano	3
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disturbance	3
us-ne	3
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q10	3
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speleotherm	3
phanerozoic	3
power-law	2
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engineering	2
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night	2
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multimodel	2
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archean	2
mass	2
bolling-allerod	2
radioisotope	2
psychology	2
northern	2
wavelet	2
quaternary	2
frequentist	2
local-regression	2
subglacial	2
non-separable	2
rcm	2
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us-se	2
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multidecadal	2
anova	2
consistency	2
rain-ratio	2
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radar	1
biophysics	1
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kt	1
mesozoic	1
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mediterranean	1
faint-young-sun	1
bmc	1
latent-heat	1
innovation	1
hominid	1
us-e	1
interannaul	1
pattern-scaling	1
aogcm	1
dynamic-programming	1
cllimate	1
netherlands	1
radiative-sensitivity	1
qbo	1
erosion	1
eais	1
maunder	1
paleontology	1
dynamic	1
co	1
foraminfera	1
diesel	1
nadw	1
variational	1
lightning	1
conditional	1
multiyear	1
tertiary	1
iceberg	1
software	1
technology	1
bioengineering	1
upscaling	1
mixture-of-experts	1
mutation	1
biodiversity	1
weekly	1
acid-rain	1
mammal	1
boron	1

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