A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions Export

@article{citeulike:2278335, abstract = {We examine tropospheric temperature trends of 67 runs from 22 ?Climate of the 20th Century? model simulations and try to reconcile them with the best available updated observations (in the tropics during the satellite era). Model results and observed temperature trends are in disagreement in most of the tropical troposphere, being separated by more than twice the uncertainty of the model mean. In layers near 5 km, the modelled trend is 100 to 300\% higher than observed, and, above 8 km, modelled and observed trends have opposite signs. These conclusions contrast strongly with those of recent publications based on essentially the same data. Copyright {\copyright} 2007 Royal Meteorological Society}, address = {Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627, USA; Department of Atmospheric Science and Earth System Science Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USA; Science and Environmental Policy Project, Arlington, VA 22202, USA; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, USA}, author = {Douglass, David H. and Christy, John R. and Pearson, Benjamin D. and Singer, Fred S.}, citeulike-article-id = {2278335}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1651}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/abstract/117857349/ABSTRACT}, doi = {10.1002/joc.1651}, journal = {International Journal of Climatology}, number = {9999}, pages = {n/a+}, posted-at = {2008-01-23 00:31:56}, priority = {2}, title = {A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1651}, volume = {9999}, year = {2007} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:2278335 L3 - citeulike-article-id:2278335 N2 - We examine tropospheric temperature trends of 67 runs from 22 ?Climate of the 20th Century? model simulations and try to reconcile them with the best available updated observations (in the tropics during the satellite era). Model results and observed temperature trends are in disagreement in most of the tropical troposphere, being separated by more than twice the uncertainty of the model mean. In layers near 5 km, the modelled trend is 100 to 300% higher than observed, and, above 8 km, modelled and observed trends have opposite signs. These conclusions contrast strongly with those of recent publications based on essentially the same data. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society IS - 9999 JF - International Journal of Climatology AD - Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627, USA; Department of Atmospheric Science and Earth System Science Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USA; Science and Environmental Policy Project, Arlington, VA 22202, USA; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22903, USA TI - A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions VL - 9999 SP - n/a AU - Douglass, David AU - Christy, John AU - Pearson, Benjamin AU - Singer, Fred PY - 2007/// UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1651 ER -