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The Chinese Equity Bubble: Ready to Burst Export

(10 Jul 2009)

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bubble complex crash currency econophysics finance market stock systems

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Amid the current financial crisis, there has been one equity index beating all others: the Shanghai Composite. Our analysis of this main Chinese equity index shows clear signatures of a bubble build up and we go on to predict its most likely crash date: July 17-27, 2009 (20%/80% quantile confidence interval).


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