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Improved Criteria for Clustering Based on the Posterior Similarity Matrix Export

Bayesian analysis

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clustering dirichlet mixture model process summarize

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In this paper we address the problem of obtaining a single clustering estimate c based on an MCMC sample of clusterings c(1) , c(2) . . . , c(M ) from the posterior distribution of a Bayesian cluster model. Methods to derive c when the number of groups K varies between the clusterings are reviewed and discussed. These include the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate and methods based on the posterior similarity matrix, a matrix containing the posterior probabilities that the observations i and j are in the same cluster. The posterior similarity matrix is related to a commonly used loss function by Binder (1978). Minimization of the loss is shown to be equivalent to maximizing the Rand index between esti- mated and true clustering. We propose new criteria for estimating a clustering, which are based on the posterior expected adjusted Rand index. The criteria are shown to possess a shrinkage property and outperform Binder’s loss in a simulation study and in an application to gene expression data. They also perform favorably compared to other clustering procedures.


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