Characteristics Predicting Nursing Home Admission in the Program of All-Inclusive Care for Elderly People Export

@article{citeulike:1541489, abstract = {Purpose: This study determined overall risk and predictors of long-term nursing home admission within the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE). Design and Methods: DataPACE records for 4,646 participants aged 55 years or older who were enrolled in 12 Medicare- and Medicaid-capitated PACE programs during the period from June 1, 1990, to June 30, 1998, were obtained. Participants were enrolled for at least 30 days and had baseline evaluations within 30 days of enrollment. Cox proportional hazard models predicting an outcome of nursing home admission of 30 days or longer were estimated. Results: The cumulative risk of admission to nursing homes for 30 days or longer was 14.9\% within 3 years. Individuals enrolled from a nursing home were at very high risk for future admission, with a relative risk of 5.20 when compared with those living alone. Among individuals enrolled in PACE from the community, age, instrumental activity of daily living dependence, and bowel incontinence were predictive of subsequent nursing home admission. Asians and Blacks had a lower risk of institutionalization than Whites. However, other characteristics were not independently predictive of institutionalization, namely poor cognitive status, number of chronic conditions, activity of daily living deficits, urinary incontinence, several behavioral disturbances, and duration of program operation. Before adjusting for other variables, there was substantial site variability in risk of nursing home admission; this decreased considerably after other characteristics were adjusted for. Implications: Despite the fact that 100\% of the PACE participants were nursing home certifiable, the risk of being admitted to a nursing home long term following enrollment from the community is low. The presence of some reversible risk factors may have implications for early intervention to reduce risk further, although the effect of these interventions is likely to be modest. Individuals who received long-term care in a nursing home prior to enrollment in PACE remain at high risk of readmission, despite the availability of comprehensive services.}, author = {Friedman, Susan M. and Steinwachs, Donald M. and Rathouz, Paul J. and Burton, Lynda C. and Mukamel, Dana B.}, citeulike-article-id = {1541489}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://gerontologist.gerontologyjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/45/2/157}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://view.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15799980}, citeulike-linkout-2 = {http://www.hubmed.org/display.cgi?uids=15799980}, day = {1}, journal = {Gerontologist}, keywords = {bm, long\_term\_care, nursing\_facility, nursing\_home, senior\_care\_research}, month = {April}, number = {2}, pages = {157--166}, posted-at = {2007-08-07 17:52:20}, priority = {2}, title = {Characteristics Predicting Nursing Home Admission in the Program of All-Inclusive Care for Elderly People}, url = {http://gerontologist.gerontologyjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/45/2/157}, volume = {45}, year = {2005} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:1541489 L3 - citeulike-article-id:1541489 N2 - Purpose: This study determined overall risk and predictors of long-term nursing home admission within the Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE). Design and Methods: DataPACE records for 4,646 participants aged 55 years or older who were enrolled in 12 Medicare- and Medicaid-capitated PACE programs during the period from June 1, 1990, to June 30, 1998, were obtained. Participants were enrolled for at least 30 days and had baseline evaluations within 30 days of enrollment. Cox proportional hazard models predicting an outcome of nursing home admission of 30 days or longer were estimated. Results: The cumulative risk of admission to nursing homes for 30 days or longer was 14.9% within 3 years. Individuals enrolled from a nursing home were at very high risk for future admission, with a relative risk of 5.20 when compared with those living alone. Among individuals enrolled in PACE from the community, age, instrumental activity of daily living dependence, and bowel incontinence were predictive of subsequent nursing home admission. Asians and Blacks had a lower risk of institutionalization than Whites. However, other characteristics were not independently predictive of institutionalization, namely poor cognitive status, number of chronic conditions, activity of daily living deficits, urinary incontinence, several behavioral disturbances, and duration of program operation. Before adjusting for other variables, there was substantial site variability in risk of nursing home admission; this decreased considerably after other characteristics were adjusted for. Implications: Despite the fact that 100% of the PACE participants were nursing home certifiable, the risk of being admitted to a nursing home long term following enrollment from the community is low. The presence of some reversible risk factors may have implications for early intervention to reduce risk further, although the effect of these interventions is likely to be modest. Individuals who received long-term care in a nursing home prior to enrollment in PACE remain at high risk of readmission, despite the availability of comprehensive services. IS - 2 JF - Gerontologist EP - 166 TI - Characteristics Predicting Nursing Home Admission in the Program of All-Inclusive Care for Elderly People VL - 45 SP - 157 KW - bm KW - long_term_care KW - nursing_facility KW - nursing_home KW - senior_care_research AU - Friedman, Susan AU - Steinwachs, Donald AU - Rathouz, Paul AU - Burton, Lynda AU - Mukamel, Dana PY - 2005/04/01/ UR - http://gerontologist.gerontologyjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/45/2/157 ER -