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Insiders' Profits, Costs of Trading, and Market Efficiency |
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AbstractAn investigation is made of the anomalous findings of the previous insider trading studies that any investor can earn abnormal profits by reading the Official Summary. Using approximately 60,000 insider sale and purchase transactions for the period 1975-1981, an analysis is presented of: 1. the availability of abnormal profits to insiders, 2. the availability of abnormal profits to outsiders who imitate insiders, 3. the determinants of insiders' predictive ability, and 4. the effect of insider trading on costs of trading for other investors. The implications for market efficiency and evaluation of abnormal profits to active trading strategies are considered. The evidence presented suggests that insiders can predict abnormal future stock price changes. It also is found that, as a percentage of stock price, the expected loss to insiders and firm size is negatively correlated.
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