Primary Commodity Exports and Civil War Export

@article{citeulike:1086097, abstract = {Collier and Hoeffler reported that countries with a higher percentage of national income from primary commodity exports have been more prone to civil war, an interesting finding that has received much attention from policy makers and the media. The author shows that this result is quite fragile, even using Collier and Hoeffler's data. Minor changes in the sample framing and the recovery of missing data undermine it. To the extent that there is an association, it is likely because oil is a major component of primary commodity exports and substantial oil production does associate with civil war risk. The author argues that oil predicts civil war risk not because it provides an easy source of rebel start-up finance but probably because oil producers have relatively low state capabilities given their level of per capita income and because oil makes state or regional control a tempting "prize." An analysis of data on government observance of contracts and investor-perceived expropriation risk is consistent with this hypothesis. 10.1177/0022002705277544}, author = {Fearon, James D.}, citeulike-article-id = {1086097}, citeulike-linkout-0 = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002705277544}, citeulike-linkout-1 = {http://jcr.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/49/4/483}, comment = {Fearon uses the country-year framing instead of C\&H's five-year sample framing (multiple imputation is used to fill in missing data in C\&H dataset). Fearon finds that given the level of per capita income, primary commodity exports (including oil and cash crops) indicate weaker states. Few oil producers have no need for imposition of high taxation. That is, they do not have need for extensive and efficient bureaucracy (less developed administration) }, day = {1}, doi = {10.1177/0022002705277544}, journal = {Journal of Conflict Resolution}, keywords = {collier, commodity, hoeffler, primary}, month = {August}, number = {4}, pages = {483--507}, posted-at = {2007-08-23 20:02:05}, priority = {0}, title = {Primary Commodity Exports and Civil War}, url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002705277544}, volume = {49}, year = {2005} }

TY - JOUR ID - citeulike:1086097 L3 - citeulike-article-id:1086097 N2 - Collier and Hoeffler reported that countries with a higher percentage of national income from primary commodity exports have been more prone to civil war, an interesting finding that has received much attention from policy makers and the media. The author shows that this result is quite fragile, even using Collier and Hoeffler's data. Minor changes in the sample framing and the recovery of missing data undermine it. To the extent that there is an association, it is likely because oil is a major component of primary commodity exports and substantial oil production does associate with civil war risk. The author argues that oil predicts civil war risk not because it provides an easy source of rebel start-up finance but probably because oil producers have relatively low state capabilities given their level of per capita income and because oil makes state or regional control a tempting "prize." An analysis of data on government observance of contracts and investor-perceived expropriation risk is consistent with this hypothesis. 10.1177/0022002705277544 IS - 4 JF - Journal of Conflict Resolution EP - 507 TI - Primary Commodity Exports and Civil War VL - 49 SP - 483 KW - collier KW - commodity KW - hoeffler KW - primary N1 - Fearon uses the country-year framing instead of C&H's five-year sample framing (multiple imputation is used to fill in missing data in C&H dataset). Fearon finds that given the level of per capita income, primary commodity exports (including oil and cash crops) indicate weaker states. Few oil producers have no need for imposition of high taxation. That is, they do not have need for extensive and efficient bureaucracy (less developed administration) AU - Fearon, James PY - 2005/08/01/ UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002705277544 ER -